AI · resolved market
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b96b01341cafeb61c922e89ae39a4337fb5efcc581a289c9faa35efa2f8063a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 14c | 30,849$4,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,291.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…01bfbacked No | 6c | 12,514$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.29 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…3e1dbacked No | 11c | 8,420$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43d…8a2abacked No | 5c | 8,045$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…179abacked No | 8c | 6,542$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed No | 6c | 5,816$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 4c | 4,747$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.52 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 11c | 4,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 13c | 4,420$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.92 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,637$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 7c | 3,548$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.14 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaad…d0e7backed No | 5c | 3,213$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 6c | 2,767$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.58 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…8860backed No | 5c | 2,707$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…a208backed No | 8c | 2,545$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked No | 1c | 2,514$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…784ebacked No | 4c | 2,177$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…3bb1backed No | 8c | 1,816$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…6e5cbacked Yes | 71c | 1,703$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 7c | 1,648$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.59 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 5c | 1,622$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 5c | 1,604$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 2c | 1,543$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 1c | 1,514$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 3c | 1,498$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 9c | 1,305$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…9378backed No | 2c | 1,196$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed No | 5c | 1,175$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7f…6450backed No | 4c | 1,104$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0419…9cd7backed No | 2c | 1,081$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…af5abacked No | 2c | 1,025$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…2558backed No | 12c | 1,014$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641c…9dafbacked No | 2c | 1,008$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…842dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,007$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b4…a38abacked No | 3c | 813.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 19c | 787.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.67 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc724…3a19backed No | 32c | 775$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked No | 2c | 736.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 664.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 16c | 628.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked No | 10c | 617.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 17c | 600$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…d5f8backed No | 11c | 569.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…a140backed No | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb244…ea50backed No | 2c | 522.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed No | 11c | 508.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…a346backed No | 5c | 505.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…138cbacked Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…5c2abacked Yes | 36c | 488.89$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 11c | 468.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 34c | 450$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 23c | 431.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…65ecbacked No | 15c | 391.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 5c | 378.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 17c | 368.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea1…fdbdbacked No | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…ccbcbacked No | 5c | 340.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…d463backed No | 7c | 333.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e0…e601backed No | 24c | 327.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Yes | 75c | 300$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1359…0c0dbacked No | 7c | 271.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +401.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ff…6c62backed No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed No | 7c | 244.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf56…ee5fbacked No | 14c | 240$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccf…3382backed No | 8c | 225.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84e…e67ebacked No | 5c | 225$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…8ca1backed No | 5c | 225$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa420…6fd0backed No | 5c | 225$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 12c | 224$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…056cbacked No | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 13c | 212.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bb…baafbacked No | 7c | 209.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…f6e9backed No | 65c | 206.27$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed No | 6c | 204$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed No | 13c | 200.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…8306backed No | 13c | 185.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d0…264ebacked No | 13c | 169.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 160$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…b6dabacked No | 25c | 153.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +86%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked No | 24c | 151.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed No | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 24c | 149.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 64c | 139.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…2babbacked No | 7c | 133.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked No | 11c | 127.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…8353backed Yes | 37c | 124.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +169.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 27c | 122.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 24c | 121.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…9828backed No | 31c | 119.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48bb…2dc2backed No | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…3019backed No | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…aec9backed No | 10c | 114.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1a8ebacked No | 11c | 112.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 13c | 110.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c99…abafbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…309cbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?this page
- Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 11?No won
- Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 12?No won
- Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 15?No won
- Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 17?No won
- Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?No won
- Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?No won
- Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 21?No won
- Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 22?No won
- Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 25?No won
- Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 27?No won
- Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 30?No won
- Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.