Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x786e6337db07a27e087e792b9a0acc1e969817074ddbdc91e3be118d133dd83c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $441,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $536,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fe3…fec3backed Team Yandex | 42c | 117,464$49,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,918.02 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 38,400$22,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,301.93 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Falcons | 62c | 20,835$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 38c | 17,763$6,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,014.55 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 27c | 17,146$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704.43 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Yandex | 38c | 16,143$6,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,008.87 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 13,250$8,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,029.39 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 11,170$6,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,304.05 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89af…d687backed Team Yandex | 38c | 10,225$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,339.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 10,180$5,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700.69 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 9,575$5,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,725.75 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 7,643$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.86 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…d109backed Team Falcons | 63c | 6,088$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 5,692$3,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.07 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc421…9949backed Team Falcons | 62c | 5,387$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,339.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Falcons | 59c | 5,310$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.9 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Yandex | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 4,982$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.82 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…4cd4backed Team Falcons | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad12…5cf6backed Team Yandex | 71c | 3,142$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Team Falcons | 62c | 3,123$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 3,060$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.39 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Team Falcons | 60c | 2,675$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…2014backed Team Falcons | 62c | 2,645$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 57c | 2,575$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.75 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.36 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Team Falcons | 31c | 2,503$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Team Falcons | 63c | 2,386$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.02 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 2,200$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.99 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Yandex | 33c | 2,111$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.39 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 34c | 2,086$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.83 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Falcons | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,991$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.82 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Yandex | 36c | 1,959$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.86 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 1,869$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.62 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 1,718$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.48 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,646$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.83 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Team Falcons | 35c | 1,634$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.79 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,600$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.89 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,552$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.14 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,545$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.01 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Team Falcons | 60c | 1,530$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.11 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,499$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.86 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Yandex | 63c | 1,349$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.51 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Team Falcons | 39c | 1,301$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.06 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,275$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.46 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Yandex | 40c | 1,267$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.34 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,254$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.34 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed Team Falcons | 23c | 1,183$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.27 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…507fbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 1,159$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Falcons | 66c | 1,054$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.58 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Team Yandex | 67c | 1,024$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.06 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…4f83backed Team Yandex | 69c | 1,023$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Team Falcons | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…5e9ebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 996.64$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Falcons | 61c | 993.39$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.87 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 63c | 952$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Team Yandex | 36c | 939.23$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…923bbacked Team Falcons | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1299backed Team Falcons | 23c | 900$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef0…f14cbacked Team Falcons | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 11cpaid | +198.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Falcons | 44c | 890.77$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.52 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…64f8backed Team Yandex | 36c | 840$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Falcons | 58c | 802$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.16 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e36…3fd0backed Team Falcons | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Team Falcons | 63c | 794.26$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Team Falcons | 67c | 748.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 58c | 730.35$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.15 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…d25fbacked Team Yandex | 40c | 720$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…33acbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 720$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Team Falcons | 62c | 711.89$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.84 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Team Falcons | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Yandex | 64c | 676.79$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.11 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team Falcons | 63c | 650$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…a146backed Team Yandex | 38c | 630$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.6 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Team Falcons | 63c | 628.47$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.94 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Falcons | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Falcons | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Yandex | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Falcons | 63c | 599.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.99 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb28…02bbbacked Team Yandex | 36c | 599.98$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.98 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Yandex | 37c | 568.72$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.19 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Falcons | 48c | 562.5$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Yandex | 36c | 560.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.36 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…95d1backed Team Falcons | 48c | 552.37$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Team Yandex | 36c | 550.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.54 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Falcons | 26c | 547.79$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.23 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Team Falcons | 32c | 539.81$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.63 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…6972backed Team Falcons | 36c | 534.77$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed Team Falcons | 62c | 530$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.6 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Team Yandex | 39c | 521.59$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.84 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Team Yandex | 67c | 500$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Team Falcons | 23c | 500$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Team Yandex | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Team Falcons | 35c | 494.86$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.2 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe255…57c9backed Team Falcons | 64c | 471$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Team Falcons | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Falcons | 59c | 453.9$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.8 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed Team Falcons | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)Team Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.