Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a330a2979f167d0ed2fbe24d7d6615af7b15b41c9e3fbd5edfd8f112cde4c3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,550 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 46c | 15,126$6,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.1 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Falcons | 54c | 13,395$7,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,278.31 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 45c | 11,464$5,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,305 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 53c | 5,461$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.7 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Falcons | 57c | 4,419$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.11 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 54c | 4,000$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 3,758$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.23 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Yandex | 46c | 2,785$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.59 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 2,566$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.5 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 2,521$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.75 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Team Yandex | 49c | 2,406$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.79 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex | 53c | 2,393$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.25 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Yandex | 44c | 2,275$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.22 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Falcons | 8c | 2,095$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.17 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Team Yandex | 49c | 2,025$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex | 48c | 1,543$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.06 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 53c | 994$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.82 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Falcons | 42c | 992.28$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.53 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Yandex | 61c | 914.23$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.2 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Team Falcons | 57c | 875.93$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.8 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 50c | 850$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.12 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex | 47c | 836$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.08 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Yandex | 63c | 814.72$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.92 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 36c | 799.25$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.48 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Falcons | 5c | 781.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Yandex | 67c | 779.07$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.69 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 687.28$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.77 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Falcons | 44c | 643.98$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.49 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 43c | 623.78$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.2 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Team Yandex | 55c | 618.25$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.21 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Team Yandex | 45c | 592.83$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.78 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Team Yandex | 77c | 564.29$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.29 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Team Yandex | 45c | 550$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Yandex | 79c | 550$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 536.33$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.35 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 489.23$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.97 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Yandex | 45c | 406.22$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.42 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Team Yandex | 74c | 405.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…c74fbacked Team Falcons | 17c | 400$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Falcons | 38c | 399.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Team Yandex | 63c | 397.3$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.3 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Yandex | 43c | 397$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Team Yandex | 76c | 380.2$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 55c | 378.7$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.9 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 362.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.16 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 360$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.81 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Falcons | 53c | 350$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.4 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Falcons | 39c | 319.3$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.53 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Team Yandex | 77c | 306.3$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Falcons | 55c | 300.01$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Yandex | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Yandex | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Falcons | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Falcons | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Falcons | 13c | 298.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Yandex | 72c | 276.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 265$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 264$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Team Falcons | 45c | 252.49$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Falcons | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Team Yandex | 47c | 230$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Team Yandex | 45c | 226.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.85 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Team Yandex | 76c | 223.28$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Yandex | 45c | 222.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.39 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Falcons | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Yandex | 51c | 187.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Team Yandex | 43c | 181.61$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Team Falcons | 57c | 181.61$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Team Falcons | 32c | 181.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Falcons | 22c | 165.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Team Yandex | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 56c | 156$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Team Yandex | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Team Falcons | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Yandex | 51c | 146.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Team Falcons | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Falcons | 53c | 139.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Team Falcons | 53c | 133.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Yandex | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Yandex | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Team Falcons | 31c | 110.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Team Yandex | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Team Falcons | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 106.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Falcons | 25c | 101.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Falcons | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Falcons | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Team Falcons | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea9…42a1backed Team Falcons | 42c | 93.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked Team Yandex | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b2…03acbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 92.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Team Yandex | 45c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 311 | 43.4%135 W · 176 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Yandex | 43c | 87.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Team Falcons | 23c | 80.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)Team Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.