TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.Gof Gen.G, BNK FEARX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,583,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,426,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,583,971 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked BNK FEARX14c160,000$21,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,599.964544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed BNK FEARX2c142,453$2,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,205.88140%0 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked BNK FEARX15c73,222$10,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,900.9566437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed BNK FEARX6c68,574$3,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,813.8225547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb03f…9429backed BNK FEARX5c60,000$3,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,227.5214324.5%35 W · 108 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad99…74c1backed BNK FEARX2c59,083$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.811020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-65.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed BNK FEARX13c46,441$6,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,063.151,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed BNK FEARX9c42,743$3,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,657.8725446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed BNK FEARX5c36,634$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.4726246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX9c34,300$3,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,193.443,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX7c25,334$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.681,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed BNK FEARX5c19,390$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.3157945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1806…12f7backed BNK FEARX10c15,720$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf106…e879backed BNK FEARX13c15,000$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0202825%7 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked BNK FEARX13c14,000$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82049940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed BNK FEARX12c12,471$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5505151%26 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked BNK FEARX2c12,057$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6217826.4%47 W · 131 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x29df…8ebcbacked BNK FEARX14c11,919$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.6810133.7%34 W · 67 L-11.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked BNK FEARX10c10,620$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.1929940.1%120 W · 179 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed BNK FEARX5c10,462$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.0938624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked BNK FEARX13c10,393$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.0421536.7%79 W · 136 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed BNK FEARX2c7,546$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.139239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed BNK FEARX9c7,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70549549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1281…8d51backed BNK FEARX11c7,500$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8386735.8%24 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a4b…03d6backed BNK FEARX3c7,395$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.163729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-35.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed BNK FEARX1c7,332$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.965833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfae…8b06backed BNK FEARX4c7,152$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2717742.9%33 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed BNK FEARX2c7,148$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.661,13030%339 W · 791 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed BNK FEARX6c7,000$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4448336.1%30 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed BNK FEARX13c7,000$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.0940232.8%132 W · 270 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed BNK FEARX8c6,941$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.5139749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e6…9d29backed BNK FEARX6c6,636$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.813426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-53.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c04…03febacked BNK FEARX6c6,496$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.813026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed BNK FEARX6c6,351$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.116854.4%37 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c3a…2296backed BNK FEARX9c5,789$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed BNK FEARX6c5,653$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.241,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7274…054cbacked BNK FEARX2c5,635$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…a754backed BNK FEARX4c5,528$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5835323.2%82 W · 271 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked BNK FEARX12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003627.8%10 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae72…f49dbacked BNK FEARX13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65038335%134 W · 249 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc19b…a935backed BNK FEARX14c4,580$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.2221937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc118…bfffbacked BNK FEARX7c4,463$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed BNK FEARX9c4,394$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.096541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked BNK FEARX13c4,178$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.6753139.9%212 W · 319 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked BNK FEARX14c4,116$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.2420151.7%104 W · 97 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked BNK FEARX7c4,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010631.1%33 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed BNK FEARX11c4,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44044047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed BNK FEARX13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5203815.8%6 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed BNK FEARX13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9821154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BNK FEARX7c3,867$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.481,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked BNK FEARX1c3,857$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.351766.3%11 W · 165 L-0.5wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f5f…32ccbacked BNK FEARX15c3,694$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.893432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…e30fbacked BNK FEARX3c3,650$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.228142%34 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed BNK FEARX8c3,549$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.461,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked BNK FEARX2c3,502$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7019640.3%79 W · 117 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed BNK FEARX7c3,370$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6311140.5%45 W · 66 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BNK FEARX11c3,039$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.292,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked BNK FEARX10c3,019$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.1714735.4%52 W · 95 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked BNK FEARX0c3,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe989…4974backed BNK FEARX13c3,000$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3782825%7 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed BNK FEARX3c2,910$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0630243%130 W · 172 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed BNK FEARX12c2,858$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.9835850.8%182 W · 176 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb187…bbe1backed BNK FEARX12c2,665$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.83253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fbc…d6a4backed BNK FEARX14c2,664$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3732528%7 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-40%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9ab…da04backed BNK FEARX1c2,577$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed BNK FEARX6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507536%27 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76d0…c092backed BNK FEARX12c2,466$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.921735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa794…1361backed BNK FEARX17c2,356$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.5910624.5%26 W · 80 L+0.5wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed BNK FEARX13c2,310$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.344335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed BNK FEARX9c2,227$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21127535.3%97 W · 178 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed BNK FEARX12c2,099$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.8643640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a1…4dbdbacked BNK FEARX13c2,027$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.511250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x177f…2c08backed BNK FEARX3c2,010$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick24cpaid+41%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed BNK FEARX11c2,000$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22924240.9%99 W · 143 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebf9…6852backed BNK FEARX13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2606246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa77…dad6backed BNK FEARX4c2,000$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.443119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed BNK FEARX14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28074949.7%372 W · 377 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked BNK FEARX6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x512f…a99cbacked BNK FEARX15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0822…18adbacked BNK FEARX14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-75.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed BNK FEARX16c2,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33048440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bdc…3454backed BNK FEARX3c1,762$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x581d…2b06backed BNK FEARX15c1,700$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25648035.4%170 W · 310 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked BNK FEARX3c1,673$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.37935.4%28 W · 51 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77c0…af29backed BNK FEARX2c1,672$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521819.3%42 W · 176 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3de8…b86abacked BNK FEARX6c1,626$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed BNK FEARX6c1,500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908924.7%22 W · 67 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked BNK FEARX5c1,446$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530421.4%65 W · 239 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…f66ebacked BNK FEARX2c1,440$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331717.6%3 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-63.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a14…045cbacked BNK FEARX2c1,432$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4926234.4%90 W · 172 L-21.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed BNK FEARX6c1,405$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6238837.4%145 W · 243 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f8…446cbacked BNK FEARX1c1,400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked BNK FEARX13c1,373$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5577131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked BNK FEARX6c1,358$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.967045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked BNK FEARX13c1,300$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1691,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb666…0dcbbacked BNK FEARX6c1,299$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.752650%13 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ce…8884backed BNK FEARX11c1,292$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.081838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed BNK FEARX6c1,200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7230139.5%119 W · 182 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed BNK FEARX5c1,200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5652438.9%204 W · 320 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed BNK FEARX12c1,145$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8740651.7%210 W · 196 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.