Lol · resolved market
First Blood in Game 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97f03d8f07081fd483d7400fbbb84391097f3432d84028ac0cee9f9a357ff2df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gen.Gof Gen.G, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX | 44c | 3,811$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.75 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Gen.G | 56c | 2,699$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.7 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed Gen.G | 78c | 1,197$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.76 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…dcfebacked Gen.G | 57c | 1,030$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.9 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed BNK FEARX | 4c | 396$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Gen.G | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 941 | 44.6%420 W · 521 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e2…68f1backed Gen.G | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- First Blood in Game 3?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?BNK FEARX won
- First Blood in Game 2?BNK FEARX won
- First Blood in Game 4?Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerGen.G won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.