TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Under42c9,614$4,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,022.291,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.9813344.4%59 W · 74 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Over57c3,251$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.9339749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ce…8884backed Over59c3,049$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.141838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Over51c1,948$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.341,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Over56c1,842$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.1520649%101 W · 105 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under41c1,561$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9917537.1%65 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed Over61c1,500$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58017561.1%107 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Over59c1,178$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.0132752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Over56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under60c929.83$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.9931153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0965…da73backed Over56c887.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.092090%18 W · 2 L+6.0wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+52%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1090…3ad3backed Over42c597.1$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.111243.8%49 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under41c560.32$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7314735.4%52 W · 95 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…f1f3backed Over59c440$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.424648.4%119 W · 127 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over14c427.46$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.5315829.1%46 W · 112 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over57c413.7$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.034456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae03…45b9backed Over56c402.7$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f92…7fa4backed Over56c360.71$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Over56c337.2$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3742735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under42c335.22$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.171,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under42c277.28$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.518549.7%92 W · 93 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb51…359dbacked Over61c268.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.983458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Over57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1612757.5%73 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Over43c234.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8840237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over62c233.93$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9316357.1%93 W · 70 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1da7…2e56backed Under45c223.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007663.2%48 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f15…a877backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+165.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Under54c186.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3825547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over57c181.22$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2453955.1%297 W · 242 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb665…ed24backed Over61c179.32$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.323360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x750c…2fe3backed Over61c179.26$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.33661.1%22 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572548%12 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed Over59c170.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3312736.2%46 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafa5…a763backed Over56c160.94$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Over22c154.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1452438.9%204 W · 320 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under45c150.87$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5113940.3%56 W · 83 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a36…74b8backed Over52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.53246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd7c…454fbacked Over55c149.97$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.485440.7%22 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fa6…dbd6backed Over58c138.32$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3256060.4%338 W · 222 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Over56c123$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.124438.6%17 W · 27 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed Over41c121.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.813831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0297…c341backed Over55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Over59c118.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6432954.4%179 W · 150 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe200…5886backed Over43c116.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5123752.7%125 W · 112 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under54c105$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.792,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x31fa…20c5backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63db…eca7backed Under59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb88…41b0backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4113857.2%79 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a6…159ebacked Over35c99.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.999324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Over58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.842751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc31…431cbacked Over59c85.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8920171.1%143 W · 58 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1134…848fbacked Over59c85.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7513556.3%76 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over43c81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.791,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under58c78.81$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.761,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under48c76.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5124356%136 W · 107 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a99…813fbacked Over48c76.07$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.63683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over32c72.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.746530.8%20 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3493…40afbacked Over69c71.22$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0434565.5%226 W · 119 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Under42c70.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Under43c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5111742.7%50 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57f6…fed6backed Over59c57.63$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.631631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under58c57.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.352,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9f…36dfbacked Under46c54.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2558649.8%292 W · 294 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over55c51.43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.251,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed Under58c51.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019251%98 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802e…adf4backed Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204961.2%30 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over47c48.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6536467.3%245 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c90…cd7bbacked Under44c48.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.172138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Under40c48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.212333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c0…af29backed Under65c46.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021819.3%42 W · 176 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbda…f10fbacked Under44c45.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205240.4%21 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x517e…dd65backed Under44c45.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+71.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7994…c8c3backed Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.643966.7%26 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x834d…29ecbacked Over57c44.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.042842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under68c43.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3065754.5%358 W · 299 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd641…0635backed Over41c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.56848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e2…3c77backed Over57c37.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.991560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over40c34.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9325447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.93253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5db0…73f1backed Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.94660.9%28 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b19…babebacked Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92548%12 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c41…18edbacked Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under41c33.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.944128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.97055.7%39 W · 31 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e8e…00abbacked Over60c33.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4310342.7%44 W · 59 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked Under66c30.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020245%91 W · 111 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc825…de3fbacked Over58c29.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Under47c28.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1615551.6%80 W · 75 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Over42c25.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under78c21.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0416842.9%72 W · 96 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x112e…0d1fbacked Over59c21.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.854660.9%28 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over53c20.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9526154.8%143 W · 118 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.