TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.Gof Gen.G, BNK FEARX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$364,684
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$370,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,684 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72ab…edaabacked BNK FEARX1c111,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660280%0 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked BNK FEARX7c19,422$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.981,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed BNK FEARX24c15,551$3,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,720.818451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed BNK FEARX26c15,410$4,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,052.5654353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked Gen.G73c12,779$9,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,477.042429.2%7 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Gen.G71c12,165$8,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,564.6231153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked BNK FEARX31c11,202$3,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.5425751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked BNK FEARX0c10,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151766.3%11 W · 165 L-0.5wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed BNK FEARX27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70012850%64 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked BNK FEARX1c9,500$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd7…211cbacked Gen.G73c9,433$6,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.961741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Gen.G74c8,107$5,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107.781143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed BNK FEARX1c7,255$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2244042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed BNK FEARX33c7,206$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.0725446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX26c7,042$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.821,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed BNK FEARX0c6,391$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.567869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Gen.G64c6,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16082352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b86…36eabacked BNK FEARX2c5,643$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.23825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-55.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed BNK FEARX36c5,493$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.3443151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed BNK FEARX32c5,363$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.4115829.1%46 W · 112 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BNK FEARX5c4,979$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.652,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Gen.G76c4,910$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.41,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed BNK FEARX23c4,131$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.82,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Gen.G75c4,081$3,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.213556.3%76 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Gen.G66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.9944047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c3a…2296backed BNK FEARX18c3,743$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6811533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x217a…5dfabacked Gen.G74c3,609$2,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.3447057.7%271 W · 199 L-27.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed BNK FEARX30c3,500$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.6585746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Gen.G73c3,387$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.891,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Gen.G71c3,202$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.461,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Gen.G65c3,186$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.9628361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Gen.G70c3,144$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.061,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked BNK FEARX34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02014041.4%58 W · 82 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed BNK FEARX22c2,829$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62010443.3%45 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x689a…97a4backed Gen.G74c2,789$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.639741.2%40 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Gen.G68c2,720$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.2759558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Gen.G78c2,292$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.5185442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Gen.G71c2,182$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.7525547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed BNK FEARX26c2,119$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.981450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked BNK FEARX29c1,903$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55238462%238 W · 146 L-0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Gen.G70c1,700$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5109852%51 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Gen.G66c1,587$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.6978050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0002…103ebacked BNK FEARX22c1,530$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.99743.3%42 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Gen.G76c1,500$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36050569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked BNK FEARX11c1,488$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7225244.4%112 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf4e…e3a2backed BNK FEARX1c1,488$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.864012.5%5 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-52%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Gen.G67c1,406$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.9827447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Gen.G75c1,400$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35048448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5f…8a41backed BNK FEARX1c1,353$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0416040%64 W · 96 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed BNK FEARX32c1,241$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.121,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Gen.G78c1,148$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.7910352.4%54 W · 49 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed BNK FEARX30c1,127$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33826556.2%149 W · 116 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a9…3ba9backed BNK FEARX18c1,100$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19633845.3%153 W · 185 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked Gen.G72c1,100$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30831849.7%158 W · 160 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x050d…2f13backed BNK FEARX37c1,049$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked BNK FEARX19c1,032$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011950.4%60 W · 59 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4991…d4dcbacked BNK FEARX3c1,001$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.033112.9%4 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+331.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed BNK FEARX24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24049549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed BNK FEARX31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed BNK FEARX25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Gen.G65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35071249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Gen.G67c1,000$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.8779653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Gen.G66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34021954.3%119 W · 100 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Gen.G66c949.98$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.991,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Gen.G75c836.46$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.111,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed BNK FEARX31c800$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2481,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Gen.G65c796.22$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.781,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf459…7a53backed Gen.G67c744.78$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.7821655.1%119 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Gen.G64c741.68$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.931,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Gen.G72c701.85$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.5233748.4%163 W · 174 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Gen.G75c665.84$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.8485652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked BNK FEARX25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029940.1%120 W · 179 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…17aabacked Gen.G71c600$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17216850%84 W · 84 L-13.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked BNK FEARX10c580.2$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8730421.4%65 W · 239 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8804…a3a7backed BNK FEARX19c578.95$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015450%77 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Gen.G70c570$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1721,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Gen.G71c567.54$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.5952062.3%324 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9e…456bbacked Gen.G67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1658360.2%50 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97d8…597ebacked BNK FEARX6c478$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.281752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ee…1391backed BNK FEARX12c465.75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.899149.5%45 W · 46 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e7c…cbaabacked BNK FEARX35c448.07$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1569238%35 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed BNK FEARX34c440$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.626453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709d…0a62backed BNK FEARX33c424.24$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14026052.7%137 W · 123 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Gen.G70c406.89$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4819055.3%105 W · 85 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked BNK FEARX30c406.67$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12296057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked BNK FEARX15c400$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.242835%150 W · 278 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Gen.G76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed BNK FEARX28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11268443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1c…fc18backed BNK FEARX23c399.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909965.7%65 W · 34 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a70…18f0backed BNK FEARX30c375.53$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6617542.3%74 W · 101 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BNK FEARX21c358.21$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.092,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked BNK FEARX29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029833.9%101 W · 197 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed BNK FEARX29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed BNK FEARX33c340$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.264553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed BNK FEARX32c319.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3984050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Gen.G74c312.55$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.771,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed BNK FEARX27c308.76$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.383831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed BNK FEARX22c300$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6741347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf32b…90c8backed BNK FEARX4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125044%22 W · 28 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Gen.G67c299.75$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9236260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.