Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f8c1641ba2fc5564bff5132253c552cd8305b7bb529d5caa2156e40c5b34e25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Under | 52c | 2,467$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.42 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Over | 30c | 1,400$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.4 | 1,327 | 53.3%707 W · 620 L | +37.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Over | 18c | 1,334$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.08 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Under | 72c | 1,300$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.2 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Over | 70c | 1,250$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 485 | 48.7%236 W · 249 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 28c | 940$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.56 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 73c | 423.18$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.54 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Over | 27c | 259.3$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ce…8884backed Over | 28c | 254.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Under | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 306 | 61.1%187 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Over | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 392 | 39%153 W · 239 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…f49dbacked Over | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 383 | 35%134 W · 249 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Under | 75c | 170.69$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Over | 32c | 168.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…8058backed Under | 75c | 133.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 25c | 133.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 148 | 35.1%52 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c10…1a8bbacked Under | 72c | 125.42$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 473 | 64.3%304 W · 169 L | -20.8wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Over | 28c | 123.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Over | 23c | 118$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 397 | 49.1%195 W · 202 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 521 | 51.8%270 W · 251 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Under | 76c | 93.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…848fbacked Over | 28c | 70.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 61c | 69.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2c…f983backed Under | 74c | 67.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Under | 76c | 66.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 986 | 63.6%627 W · 359 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Over | 26c | 60.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…f0cfbacked Under | 76c | 52.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 28c | 45.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 70c | 42.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1c…fc18backed Over | 24c | 42.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…2a1fbacked Over | 28c | 39.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 226 | 46.5%105 W · 121 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…e5b9backed Under | 71c | 28.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 80c | 20.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?BNK FEARX won
- First Blood in Game 2?BNK FEARX won
- First Blood in Game 3?Gen.G won
- First Blood in Game 4?Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerGen.G won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.