Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4631f72b3ae0e3c28b99c20033f6f5548614819c65fdad41bf17ec2a6abb3c94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gen.Gof Gen.G, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX | 25c | 2,760$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.41 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed BNK FEARX | 26c | 2,427$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.99 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked BNK FEARX | 27c | 1,900$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed BNK FEARX | 18c | 1,829$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.33 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Gen.G | 75c | 1,733$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.25 | 263 | 60.1%158 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Gen.G | 70c | 1,692$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.45 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked Gen.G | 75c | 1,506$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…000cbacked BNK FEARX | 30c | 1,344$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Gen.G | 75c | 1,309$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.29 | 281 | 50.5%142 W · 139 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gen.G | 73c | 1,268$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.24 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 1,167$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed BNK FEARX | 25c | 1,083$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.31 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked BNK FEARX | 29c | 1,077$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.28 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Gen.G | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 822 | 60.9%501 W · 321 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked BNK FEARX | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 733.07$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.92 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Gen.G | 70c | 708.54$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.56 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked BNK FEARX | 25c | 599.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Gen.G | 68c | 597$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.38 | 1,117 | 48.8%545 W · 572 L | +40.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Gen.G | 75c | 510.46$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.61 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Gen.G | 74c | 469.62$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Gen.G | 75c | 448.83$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.21 | 520 | 62.3%324 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed BNK FEARX | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 189 | 44.4%84 W · 105 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…84fdbacked BNK FEARX | 26c | 376.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed BNK FEARX | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,136 | 43.2%491 W · 645 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…af29backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 361.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 19.3%42 W · 176 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Gen.G | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Gen.G | 71c | 253.67$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed BNK FEARX | 25c | 240.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 221.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Gen.G | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f0…a122backed BNK FEARX | 29c | 173.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7074…3d38backed BNK FEARX | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked BNK FEARX | 26c | 150.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 148 | 35.1%52 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Gen.G | 70c | 142.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Gen.G | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Gen.G | 76c | 131.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 1,246 | 52.6%656 W · 590 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Gen.G | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Gen.G | 68c | 112.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked BNK FEARX | 27c | 111.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed BNK FEARX | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -14.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed BNK FEARX | 29c | 103.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed BNK FEARX | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Gen.G | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…1521backed BNK FEARX | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed BNK FEARX | 26c | 68.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed BNK FEARX | 23c | 64.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6e…b24fbacked Gen.G | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…4ef4backed Gen.G | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Gen.G | 73c | 53.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…4fe3backed Gen.G | 76c | 52.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8a…4926backed Gen.G | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed BNK FEARX | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Gen.G | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Gen.G | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Gen.G | 74c | 36.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ff7cbacked Gen.G | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…0635backed Gen.G | 73c | 25.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Gen.G | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…052abacked Gen.G | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2008…db59backed Gen.G | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Gen.G | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Gen.G | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…61c4backed Gen.G | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 191 | 61.3%117 W · 74 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…643dbacked Gen.G | 75c | 19.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Gen.G | 71c | 16.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Gen.G | 68c | 16.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Gen.G | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?BNK FEARX won
- First Blood in Game 2?BNK FEARX won
- First Blood in Game 3?Gen.G won
- First Blood in Game 4?Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerGen.G won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.