Commodities · resolved market

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d685b99a4c522fa073f3e61c81fdbb631debcaaf1dadffc97596262649aeaf3

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $65,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $51,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,734 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Commodities
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc427…6f4dbacked No	53c	3,608$1,912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,695.32	70	44.3%31 W · 39 L	+8.9wins	+0.13per pick	32cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x893b…a860backed Yes	10c	3,160$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.01	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe4…13eebacked Yes	4c	2,614$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.19	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	60c	2,266$1,356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$910.07	938	40.2%377 W · 561 L	-69.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe747…e9c3backed Yes	36c	2,062$738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.02	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd561…9b7bbacked No	36c	1,660$603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,057.09	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+101.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes	34c	1,581$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.73	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-5.0wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed No	44c	1,435$636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.41	80	51.3%41 W · 39 L	+6.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe437…ed7dbacked No	38c	1,367$523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.63	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…b3d2backed Yes	46c	1,168$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.54	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	51c	1,056$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$521.1	353	34%120 W · 233 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9466…a745backed Yes	70c	950.5$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$661	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1851…7016backed No	22c	919.07$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.07	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+5.5wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+75.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes	3c	900$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	293	4.1%12 W · 281 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x188e…70d8backed Yes	55c	790.41$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.7	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b31…d439backed Yes	3c	773.44$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.79	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes	51c	696.66$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.18	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	7c	689.7$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.58	110	32.7%36 W · 74 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d4b…21c7backed Yes	45c	687.42$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.45	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ebb…0614backed No	45c	613.78$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.06	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-4.2wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe1d…a7dabacked No	41c	613.73$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.73	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	62c	575.64$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.71	238	46.6%111 W · 127 L	+13.3wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	46c	536.35$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.37	308	39.6%122 W · 186 L	-17.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	41c	515.5$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.2	241	26.1%63 W · 178 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc3…f054backed Yes	47c	499.99$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…1ba5backed No	54c	494.39$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.16	28	71.4%20 W · 8 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	4c	486.72$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.37	42	11.9%5 W · 37 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes	16c	469.99$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.2	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-49%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ea…32abbacked Yes	80c	457.59$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	446.54$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	1,030	9.2%95 W · 935 L	-25.0wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda87…9140backed Yes	55c	441.48$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.09	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	46cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Yes	3c	401.12$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	188	4.3%8 W · 180 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	3c	397$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.91	165	16.4%27 W · 138 L	+12.2wins	+0.07per pick	9cpaid	+17%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	25c	390.57$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.88	390	34.4%134 W · 256 L	-33.8wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84c6…0c95backed No	66c	367.27$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.38	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed21…671fbacked Yes	5c	365.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	43cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes	4c	342.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.64	96	16.7%16 W · 80 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Yes	57c	327.41$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.82	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	62cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ae…332fbacked Yes	50c	319.62$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.43	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x912b…9156backed No	38c	282.41$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.56	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes	4c	280.44$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.36	121	2.5%3 W · 118 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	4c	272.04$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.66	91	2.2%2 W · 89 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-72.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea66…bcaabacked Yes	50c	259.1$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	49c	244.33$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.46	1,048	34.5%362 W · 686 L	-94.9wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes	60c	226.04$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.22	109	38.5%42 W · 67 L	-10.3wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x371d…11babacked Yes	13c	223.51$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	216.81$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	232	4.3%10 W · 222 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed No	46c	212.48$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.3	79	21.5%17 W · 62 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked No	49c	210.28$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.41	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	20cpaid	+78.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No	52c	201.58$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.03	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc245…bccbbacked Yes	59c	200$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.5	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	69c	200$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf25b…2584backed Yes	64c	200$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x171e…e046backed Yes	46c	191.3$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.88	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb12e…8c6cbacked No	49c	185.34$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.52	39	69.2%27 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cdf…5bc1backed No	37c	179.54$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf96…9942backed Yes	39c	164.7$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.15	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes	52c	163$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.97	138	58%80 W · 58 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c50…22fdbacked Yes	47c	155$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.85	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb51c…502dbacked No	56c	150$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.5	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9456…4f9fbacked No	25c	149.99$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.49	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.3wins	+0.39per pick	44cpaid	+89.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	44c	145.97$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.79	154	46.8%72 W · 82 L	+17.9wins	+0.12per pick	35cpaid	+69.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes	30c	145.39$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.13	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc327…31f5backed No	37c	140$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.8	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+3.8wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a66…48c7backed No	45c	134.22$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.22	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.9wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+189.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes	46c	126.04$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.49	186	37.6%70 W · 116 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No	59c	124.83$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.42	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-87.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ee…a8aebacked Yes	74c	121.23$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-4.7wins	-0.28per pick	45cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xccf8…8dcbbacked No	42c	119.36$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.39	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5e…332ebacked Yes	25c	105$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.56	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e52…98fbbacked Yes	64c	103.47$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.29	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-27%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f6…3836backed Yes	66c	102.82$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd58…af13backed Yes	33c	101.36$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…da3fbacked Yes	62c	100$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.46	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3581…7427backed Yes	61c	100$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c51…af7ebacked Yes	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc18e…44e3backed No	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4078…a7f7backed No	29c	99.99$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	53c	99.99$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.16	194	19.1%37 W · 157 L	-35.8wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x460c…faa0backed Yes	49c	96.47$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.25	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	24cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e0…69e3backed No	60c	90$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.9	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-4.7wins	-0.36per pick	59cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8417…df28backed Yes	63c	88$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.68	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe0ac…990dbacked No	52c	85.01$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.93	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c1…8220backed Yes	16c	81.13$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6430…f4dbbacked Yes	45c	77.78$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked Yes	60c	74.91$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.01	111	39.6%44 W · 67 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84fe…778ebacked Yes	17c	70.35$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a9…79a1backed Yes	44c	65.98$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.03	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-70.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c28…0b29backed Yes	79c	63.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	75%3 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	77cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa53c…2293backed Yes	50c	60.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed No	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0327…5e15backed No	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe782…3ea5backed Yes	68c	59.15$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.22	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-71%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd282…a206backed No	49c	56.7$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.72	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a1…5539backed Yes	47c	52.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdf4…9084backed Yes	68c	51.2$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.97	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0df…a1dbbacked No	31c	50$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.4	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b6f…a587backed Yes	62c	48.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	28cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed No	36c	48.31$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.92	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes	57c	46.63$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.75	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	45cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?this page
Will gas hit (High) $3.50 by March 31?Yes won
Will gas hit (High) $3.75 by March 31?Yes won
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?Yes won
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?No won
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?No won
Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31?No won
Will gas hit (Low) $3.05 by March 31?No won
Will gas hit (Low) $3.10 by March 31?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event