Stocks · resolved market
Will Meta dip to $620 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd2e255958d51aa0c2fab4e74ff7aae5974e8e9b86368f11e76c3342d82a218d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 68c | 6,646$4,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.89 | 262 | 37%97 W · 165 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked Yes | 29c | 4,068$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.52 | 1,779 | 49.1%873 W · 906 L | +143.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 45c | 2,695$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.46 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 53c | 1,991$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.31 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 69c | 1,484$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.69 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Yes | 1c | 1,440$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed Yes | 44c | 1,323$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.43 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 6c | 1,102$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…dbdabacked Yes | 7c | 1,052$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…139bbacked Yes | 48c | 797.1$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes | 32c | 767.21$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.94 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…7b1ebacked No | 78c | 670$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 37c | 615.4$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.02 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 35c | 564.47$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 17c | 536.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 51c | 499.85$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.32 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…c5afbacked No | 52c | 459$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked No | 68c | 444.68$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 65c | 443.7$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.96 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 404.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 391.63$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.22 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked No | 72c | 382.3$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.66 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…eaffbacked Yes | 31c | 357.85$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 3c | 347.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 52c | 339.01$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.72 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…6816backed Yes | 54c | 335.69$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 316.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…5244backed No | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 69c | 284.31$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 36c | 264.36$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.51 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…9f81backed No | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 35c | 230$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 48c | 229.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 5c | 227.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128d…fc4abacked No | 68c | 221.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…5aacbacked Yes | 32c | 213.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 1,326 | 46.9%622 W · 704 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 202.5$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc999…ca09backed Yes | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1951backed No | 60c | 187.62$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Yes | 48c | 184.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Yes | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed Yes | 37c | 175$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Yes | 35c | 167.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0c…7fa3backed Yes | 33c | 167.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +18.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…b21dbacked No | 76c | 160.05$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 77c | 145.71$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked No | 54c | 141.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 34c | 134.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 75 | 22.7%17 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…95e2backed Yes | 42c | 127.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 43c | 110.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 110.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…6e19backed Yes | 38c | 109$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.32per pick | 41cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x769d…05bfbacked Yes | 25c | 106$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb60d…bfb5backed Yes | 27c | 104.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed No | 76c | 104.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d50…a4c1backed Yes | 38c | 101.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 27c | 101.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…f362backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…e455backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…aa37backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…5670backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…6be5backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…8727backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…8e08backed Yes | 43c | 99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…0119backed Yes | 42c | 88.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…8cc6backed No | 54c | 86.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 77c | 76.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…2a83backed Yes | 51c | 75.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 69c | 71.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…6eb3backed Yes | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…4312backed No | 73c | 68.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…69babacked Yes | 52c | 64.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…ef88backed Yes | 29c | 63.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c3…b5e5backed No | 62c | 59.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf176…8d2dbacked No | 49c | 58.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 27c | 58.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…ff35backed No | 54c | 56.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…7db3backed No | 55c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8607…f4d1backed No | 38c | 55.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84a0…63a4backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed No | 48c | 49.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…a764backed No | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +539.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…8bc8backed No | 62c | 42.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 25c | 41.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 104 | 27.9%29 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked No | 71c | 40.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488b…8ac0backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f53…3b01backed Yes | 39c | 39.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x554b…4719backed No | 62c | 38.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a92…6da5backed Yes | 39c | 37.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe2…42d4backed No | 69c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed No | 37c | 34.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd45e…99cfbacked Yes | 54c | 33.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…935fbacked No | 58c | 32.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb384…6debbacked Yes | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Meta dip to $620 in February?this page
- Will Meta dip to $540 in February?No won
- Will Meta dip to $570 in February?No won
- Will Meta dip to $600 in February?No won
- Will Meta dip to $640 in February?Yes won
- Will Meta reach $680 in February?Yes won
- Will Meta reach $700 in February?Yes won
- Will Meta reach $730 in February?No won
- Will Meta reach $770 in February?No won
- Will Meta reach $810 in February?No won
- Will Meta reach $860 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.