World Politics · resolved market
Will Mehmood Mirza win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdff256695cc352b6806be9085678decec1cac0153283efa6d61a89130de44ffd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 18c | 3,368$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.11 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked No | 70c | 1,507$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.87 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 74c | 1,061$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.54 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 24c | 1,017$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.02 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…31acbacked Yes | 24c | 701.51$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2632…6475backed Yes | 3c | 579.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked Yes | 33c | 499.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 66c | 482.32$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.54 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 465.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 30c | 341.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…e7f6backed No | 66c | 302.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed No | 80c | 300$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 36c | 265$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 229$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 70c | 206$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 68c | 185$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 33c | 182.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…2497backed Yes | 28c | 180$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 78c | 171$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe041…be79backed No | 70c | 143.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed No | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 39c | 129.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 79c | 124.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 31c | 111.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 79c | 110.73$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 74c | 101.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 79c | 95.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 90.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed No | 74c | 88.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 77c | 87.26$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…b664backed Yes | 24c | 82.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b29…2b9dbacked Yes | 25c | 80.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 67.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 24c | 58.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 72c | 57.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 32c | 46.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…9d72backed No | 67c | 46.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 26c | 44.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f34…f96abacked No | 64c | 40.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 61c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…4563backed No | 79c | 35.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed No | 75c | 25.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 70c | 24.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fc…a467backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f9…cf15backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…980fbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 66c | 19.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…6866backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 79c | 15.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 150 | 76%114 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mehmood Mirza win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?this page
- Will Areeq Chowdhury win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?No won
- Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.