TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs K27 (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof Heroic, K27
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$255,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,702

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,162 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Heroic70c32,149$22,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,738.5775652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Heroic64c30,582$19,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,010.1811758.1%68 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf892…8acbbacked K2730c17,567$5,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2701936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked K2736c17,136$6,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,128.9214145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed K2736c15,661$5,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,627.9523839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Heroic74c8,296$6,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.871,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed K2719c7,792$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.466,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked K2717c6,939$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.163,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked K2716c6,519$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.0522449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed K2711c6,000$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.0816542.4%70 W · 95 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked K2710c5,706$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56927740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed K2734c5,152$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.355941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed K2715c5,078$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.5755043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed K278c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9915838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked K2727c4,803$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.791,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed K2730c3,360$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.8765546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked K2728c2,812$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.3222241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked K2717c2,803$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.926046.2%120 W · 140 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed K2734c2,545$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.2966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed K2716c2,486$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.7337646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed Heroic61c2,289$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.216949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed K2713c2,199$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.5318536.2%67 W · 118 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed K2713c2,150$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.0243933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed K2722c2,007$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.45,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed K2724c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.834,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed K271c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Heroic66c2,000$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.971,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked K2725c2,000$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.593,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed K2724c2,000$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.4637557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked K2735c2,000$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.662,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic79c1,941$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.457,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked K2718c1,843$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.563157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked K2724c1,807$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.1148845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked K2711c1,516$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.2636440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed K2730c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Heroic64c1,489$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.1722266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Heroic65c1,401$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.1338454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Heroic66c1,200$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40826054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed K2734c1,110$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.8954732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked K2730c1,098$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33454543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed K2727c1,037$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28015962.9%100 W · 59 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed Heroic65c1,026$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.113454.5%73 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Heroic62c1,010$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.221,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked K2740c1,004$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014659.6%87 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked K2730c1,002$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5519849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed K2721c1,002$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.429063.3%57 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked K2738c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38020855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked K2714c891.49$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.729553.7%51 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed K2731c887.02$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9836446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…5c91backed K274c850.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0112627%34 W · 92 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46b2…f252backed Heroic66c816.11$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.482759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Heroic64c801.27$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.581,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked K2715c793.44$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked K279c733.33$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6630236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic80c713$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.62,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Heroic67c697.31$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.3262248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Heroic68c652.26$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5152150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0054…59ffbacked Heroic66c607.35$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3512957.4%74 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed K2722c607.32$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0e…bd73backed Heroic64c582$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.524944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9929…15a8backed Heroic63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18517163.7%109 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2c…6990backed K2726c490.92$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6450%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed K2712c490.39$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.822346.2%103 W · 120 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked Heroic72c438.25$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9811844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Heroic72c421.09$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.313,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed K2729c399.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11887047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Heroic63c396.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.448562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Heroic66c393$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.629148.4%44 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked K2726c388.59$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.774,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x609f…998abacked K2713c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…0d53backed K2735c372.29$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed K2727c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010055%55 W · 45 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+28.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed K2718c356$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0869732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked K2713c354.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8937922.2%84 W · 295 L-43.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Heroic72c349$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.842,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Heroic60c343.1$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3118054.4%98 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed K2730c330$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9956738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked K2730c317.57$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.277850%39 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4114…f750backed K2733c305.45$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.85639.3%22 W · 34 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked K2712c300$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3741516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed K2737c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11138954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed K2735c299.37$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7838841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked K2730c298.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.558441.7%35 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x965f…50debacked Heroic64c297.25$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.692060%12 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Heroic62c290$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.240655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x971d…19bcbacked K2713c261.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-72.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb754…96dfbacked Heroic75c259.98$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.33839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed K2730c255.78$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7331241.3%129 W · 183 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic79c253.78$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.625,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed K2738c249.53$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8213258.3%77 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Heroic67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8849651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed K2718c218.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0211949.6%59 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94de…e3cabacked K2732c218.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5879…b671backed Heroic69c216.28$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.282653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb662…9545backed K2735c215.3$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ac…2fb7backed Heroic71c210$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.917866.3%118 W · 60 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed K2731c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6237145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Heroic63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1353850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked K2723c195.95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.712,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked K2713c185.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536639.9%146 W · 220 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.