Tennis · resolved market
Estoril Open: Pedro Martinez vs Luciano Darderi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8832a0cb723339a79b20bd21ffd064de58a8a0a68c92a014d16852d47b1a24e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luciano Darderiof Pedro Martinez, Luciano Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $450,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $569,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Pedro Martinez | 18c | 129,081$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,500 | 732 | 39.5%289 W · 443 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Pedro Martinez | 27c | 29,000$7,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,722.81 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Luciano Darderi | 75c | 19,396$14,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.06 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Luciano Darderi | 76c | 16,983$12,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125.54 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…8145backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 11,471$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.65 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Pedro Martinez | 26c | 10,688$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.6 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pedro Martinez | 24c | 9,331$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.77 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Luciano Darderi | 74c | 8,888$6,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.88 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Pedro Martinez | 4c | 8,421$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.62 | 1,205 | 8%96 W · 1,109 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Luciano Darderi | 73c | 8,000$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 7,500$5,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.68 | 361 | 49.6%179 W · 182 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Luciano Darderi | 75c | 7,092$5,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773 | 1,257 | 56.6%711 W · 546 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luciano Darderi | 77c | 5,258$4,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.63 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Pedro Martinez | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Luciano Darderi | 73c | 4,567$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.07 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Pedro Martinez | 25c | 4,356$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089 | 298 | 40.9%122 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e83…b22fbacked Pedro Martinez | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Pedro Martinez | 24c | 3,656$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.44 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…904dbacked Pedro Martinez | 12c | 3,421$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.89 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Luciano Darderi | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Pedro Martinez | 5c | 2,722$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Pedro Martinez | 25c | 2,520$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 691 | 41.1%284 W · 407 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Pedro Martinez | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…4a26backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 2,271$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.99 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Luciano Darderi | 76c | 2,205$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.2 | 598 | 52.7%315 W · 283 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 1,974$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.68 | 226 | 67.7%153 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Luciano Darderi | 72c | 1,890$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.29 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Luciano Darderi | 74c | 1,744$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.49 | 386 | 46.4%179 W · 207 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pedro Martinez | 25c | 1,738$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.38 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Luciano Darderi | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 931 | 68.1%634 W · 297 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pedro Martinez | 24c | 1,127$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.02 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…9f36backed Luciano Darderi | 78c | 1,112$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.71 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Luciano Darderi | 75c | 1,067$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.73 | 1,638 | 48.2%789 W · 849 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Luciano Darderi | 78c | 1,055$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.15 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3957…35f0backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 1,051$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.24 | 171 | 71.9%123 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Luciano Darderi | 77c | 1,039$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.09 | 268 | 54.5%146 W · 122 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Luciano Darderi | 77c | 1,039$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.97 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Luciano Darderi | 75c | 929.43$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.83 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Pedro Martinez | 25c | 803.5$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.87 | 600 | 42%252 W · 348 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Pedro Martinez | 25c | 791.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 1,354 | 38.3%518 W · 836 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Luciano Darderi | 78c | 769.23$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pedro Martinez | 24c | 740.58$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.74 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Pedro Martinez | 25c | 600.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 843 | 49.8%420 W · 423 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Pedro Martinez | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Pedro Martinez | 25c | 599.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 2,212 | 42.9%948 W · 1,264 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Pedro Martinez | 24c | 576.7$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.49 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…c508backed Pedro Martinez | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Luciano Darderi | 74c | 488$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.08 | 1,066 | 52.4%559 W · 507 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Luciano Darderi | 73c | 479$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.33 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Pedro Martinez | 25c | 458$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Pedro Martinez | 10c | 442.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ee…e513backed Pedro Martinez | 25c | 440$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pedro Martinez | 24c | 425$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Pedro Martinez | 24c | 416.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Luciano Darderi | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Pedro Martinez | 4c | 325$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Pedro Martinez | 25c | 319.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 440 | 42.3%186 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Pedro Martinez | 26c | 319.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Luciano Darderi | 80c | 311.78$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Luciano Darderi | 76c | 310$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…cbcabacked Pedro Martinez | 14c | 308.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Pedro Martinez | 6c | 307.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Pedro Martinez | 24c | 305$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898d…f7e1backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 296.05$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Pedro Martinez | 23c | 290.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 195 | 37.4%73 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 286.67$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Pedro Martinez | 25c | 281.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 1,692 | 48.8%826 W · 866 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4655…0d73backed Luciano Darderi | 80c | 250.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…768ebacked Luciano Darderi | 75c | 249.04$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Pedro Martinez | 25c | 241.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Pedro Martinez | 22c | 229.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Pedro Martinez | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 904 | 54.4%492 W · 412 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Pedro Martinez | 23c | 193.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked Pedro Martinez | 25c | 187.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pedro Martinez | 6c | 179.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Pedro Martinez | 22c | 177.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Pedro Martinez | 25c | 154.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 587 | 57.8%339 W · 248 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Pedro Martinez | 24c | 149.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Pedro Martinez | 25c | 140$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…f0ddbacked Luciano Darderi | 75c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Pedro Martinez | 18c | 139.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…e212backed Pedro Martinez | 8c | 135.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…8268backed Luciano Darderi | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Luciano Darderi | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…ec45backed Luciano Darderi | 75c | 126.61$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Pedro Martinez | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 464 | 40.5%188 W · 276 L | -36.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Pedro Martinez | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 118.11$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Pedro Martinez | 24c | 118.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 114 | 62.3%71 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Luciano Darderi | 79c | 103.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb30…8e71backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 101.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Luciano Darderi | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 359 | 61.6%221 W · 138 L | +40.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Pedro Martinez | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…f1d3backed Pedro Martinez | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…157bbacked Pedro Martinez | 25c | 99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estoril Open: Pedro Martinez vs Luciano Darderithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Martinez vs DarderiDarderi won
- Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Martinez (+1.5)Darderi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.