Movies · resolved market
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc03f42b32e2cb6fd8e793d2f4eadc6fa66059761a72e056b43b8cc5a18281b7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc363…9fd8backed Yes | 7c | 22,445$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.23 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked No | 77c | 10,767$8,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.6 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…9811backed Yes | 23c | 7,753$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.64 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked No | 39c | 4,825$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.66 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 38c | 4,601$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.11 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…4252backed Yes | 14c | 4,599$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.09 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 8c | 4,499$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.29 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 22c | 4,343$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.36 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…90dfbacked Yes | 33c | 3,819$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 58c | 3,253$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.77 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 39c | 2,871$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.94 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 55c | 2,648$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.89 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 61c | 2,598$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.08 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3666…c1c2backed Yes | 34c | 2,157$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 16c | 2,155$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 75c | 2,108$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 10c | 1,846$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.45 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked No | 80c | 1,786$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.55 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…7448backed Yes | 57c | 1,781$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 60c | 1,652$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.5 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 38c | 1,588$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.46 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…1b07backed Yes | 45c | 1,499$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.39 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 39c | 1,418$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.58 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 1,263$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.04 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed Yes | 53c | 1,243$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.11 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213d…38e8backed Yes | 39c | 1,200$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 52c | 1,182$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.11 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked No | 58c | 1,159$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…fbf4backed Yes | 4c | 1,152$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 3c | 1,052$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c2…ab5cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,039$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed Yes | 26c | 890.87$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d2…deb8backed Yes | 2c | 883.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 31c | 877.54$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.83 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Yes | 31c | 834$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…444cbacked Yes | 57c | 800$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.56 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 37c | 800$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…f372backed Yes | 5c | 739.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed Yes | 51c | 734.24$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 68c | 721.29$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.47 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 73c | 711.06$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Yes | 13c | 704.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…2f24backed Yes | 28c | 700.59$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.81 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128c…ad12backed Yes | 40c | 700$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…b3f6backed Yes | 47c | 664.17$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Yes | 38c | 656.1$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.71 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…14c5backed Yes | 5c | 638.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…8330backed Yes | 25c | 635.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…84f7backed Yes | 36c | 635.38$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 63c | 622.03$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.54 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 590.75$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.76 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 24c | 589.91$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.19 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05fc…f78ebacked Yes | 14c | 566.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked No | 78c | 551$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed Yes | 25c | 541.73$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 22c | 525.58$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed No | 68c | 509.87$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.34 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 71c | 500$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…3c05backed Yes | 18c | 492.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 33c | 483$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.01 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes | 30c | 444.46$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…b952backed Yes | 23c | 434.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 58c | 428$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…908abacked No | 72c | 414.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked Yes | 22c | 408$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 24c | 400$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…6e1ebacked No | 62c | 400$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed No | 44c | 394.77$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed No | 79c | 392.14$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36d…6b21backed Yes | 27c | 376.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 78c | 359.82$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 60c | 345.84$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.68 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f1…2dd9backed No | 78c | 318.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 26c | 310.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 310$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…5f58backed No | 69c | 302.42$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.57 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5510backed No | 62c | 300$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…661fbacked No | 68c | 300$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…b12abacked Yes | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3630…22c9backed Yes | 41c | 272.66$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…6df3backed Yes | 38c | 254$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dff…1f35backed Yes | 38c | 250$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adb…607bbacked Yes | 5c | 240.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed No | 37c | 239.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed No | 61c | 234$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 65c | 227.68$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked Yes | 52c | 219.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.36 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 33c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…9384backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…eb2bbacked No | 61c | 197.02$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f81…e93fbacked No | 77c | 196.8$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 74cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b0…7778backed Yes | 63c | 195$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 68c | 189.27$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 76c | 175.66$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b69…42cfbacked Yes | 62c | 173.34$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23a5…2c53backed Yes | 44c | 170.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?this page
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?Yes won
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 167m and 177m?No won
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 177m and 187m?No won
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 187m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.