Movies · resolved market
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 167m and 177m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc6594bc22cdfa79b3d5c2ad2ae5746caa1e68b2cd37414173bfa98e9a27f740
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x433b…f372backed Yes | 1c | 9,914$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 0c | 8,786$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,118$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f6…d6b6backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Yes | 3c | 4,943$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,776$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed Yes | 1c | 4,092$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c3…f280backed Yes | 9c | 3,029$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,871$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,405$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…be38backed Yes | 3c | 2,151$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 11c | 2,116$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.19 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 2c | 1,400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…c54fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,379$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,296$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.41 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,179$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.23 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…cae9backed Yes | 11c | 829.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…b830backed Yes | 4c | 674.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 12c | 613.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3826…84efbacked Yes | 11c | 600$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…babebacked Yes | 23c | 554.64$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…560abacked Yes | 3c | 548.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 3c | 540.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked Yes | 9c | 530.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…ea7ebacked Yes | 3c | 529.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…3c05backed Yes | 6c | 515.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…8330backed No | 68c | 409.76$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.47 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 8c | 399.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed Yes | 18c | 386.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 3c | 345.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…80aebacked Yes | 4c | 329.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 6c | 314.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…77fcbacked Yes | 15c | 271.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…0e05backed Yes | 8c | 213.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 20c | 190$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…9f2abacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…99d0backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 8c | 140.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 11c | 116.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…3ecfbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978d…5eddbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…1412backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 22c | 88.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 79c | 81.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 19c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 23c | 55.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…404abacked Yes | 31c | 53.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 167m and 177m?this page
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?Yes won
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 177m and 187m?No won
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 187m?No won
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.