World Politics · resolved market
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32753521bd6c2cdf48284a4b0df3e8e686e65c185acdb72f075e43f4b81f91b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $993,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $851,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $993,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 789 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 43c | 42,633$18,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,538.21 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 35c | 26,562$9,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,429.1 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 24,750$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 0cpaid | +2,830.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 22,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5600backed Yes | 26c | 19,000$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 56c | 18,150$10,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,244.75 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…447bbacked Yes | 22c | 13,458$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…f01dbacked Yes | 22c | 13,063$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…340bbacked Yes | 19c | 12,941$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2629…4aaabacked Yes | 22c | 12,850$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…c411backed Yes | 39c | 12,717$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c9…3b6cbacked Yes | 21c | 12,400$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…e2eebacked Yes | 21c | 12,380$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf4…73afbacked Yes | 22c | 12,350$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd256…b945backed Yes | 28c | 12,189$3,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.33 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bad…2b6fbacked Yes | 21c | 12,150$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1473…9917backed Yes | 22c | 11,280$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d2…76e3backed Yes | 39c | 10,898$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Yes | 44c | 9,297$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 11c | 8,717$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.61 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…1b0dbacked No | 61c | 8,696$5,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,391.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…f965backed No | 61c | 7,672$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…eb8dbacked No | 61c | 7,247$4,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 31c | 6,887$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.79 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6256…797dbacked No | 74c | 6,700$4,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…6243backed No | 74c | 6,200$4,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19c…f16bbacked No | 41c | 6,179$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +169%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8810…5c11backed No | 74c | 6,100$4,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 21c | 5,687$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.35 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 5,607$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1738…eba0backed No | 79c | 5,290$4,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…7157backed Yes | 1c | 5,165$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb83…306fbacked Yes | 56c | 5,020$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +210.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8324…57fdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 1c | 4,305$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…7346backed Yes | 29c | 4,138$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f58…129abacked Yes | 46c | 4,070$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +582.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 3,995$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…a86cbacked No | 78c | 3,930$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…bfdabacked No | 79c | 3,925$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 39c | 3,836$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.75 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +223.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc00d…6cd3backed No | 55c | 3,613$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…055fbacked No | 79c | 3,600$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1e…3325backed No | 78c | 3,580$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…f824backed No | 75c | 3,510$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d7…d21dbacked No | 78c | 3,420$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb35…e9c7backed No | 78c | 3,401$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…4c07backed No | 78c | 3,360$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0333backed No | 78c | 3,350$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe492…5f31backed No | 78c | 3,349$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…f772backed No | 79c | 3,300$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…d85abacked No | 79c | 3,290$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…1b28backed No | 79c | 3,268$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e8…3cffbacked No | 78c | 3,228$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615b…4967backed No | 78c | 3,200$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e4…76d4backed No | 78c | 3,163$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…7115backed No | 78c | 3,150$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x688f…bc87backed No | 78c | 3,135$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…2789backed No | 78c | 3,100$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd803…3670backed No | 79c | 3,080$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b5…8d82backed No | 79c | 3,051$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4623…cc4dbacked Yes | 25c | 3,012$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 2,956$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.03 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…6c6dbacked No | 79c | 2,950$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…09bebacked No | 78c | 2,935$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6060…29b7backed Yes | 1c | 2,930$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…a0edbacked Yes | 37c | 2,885$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c4…6219backed No | 79c | 2,880$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab1…9f4fbacked No | 79c | 2,875$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2669…b071backed Yes | 0c | 2,827$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…a051backed Yes | 1c | 2,823$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…8734backed Yes | 0c | 2,819$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 23c | 2,808$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.97 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb6…8711backed No | 79c | 2,770$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ef…89d2backed Yes | 0c | 2,769$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7f…76f2backed Yes | 0c | 2,743$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8b…a360backed No | 78c | 2,720$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…ad2fbacked No | 79c | 2,717$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa0…62fabacked Yes | 0c | 2,703$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa872…9931backed No | 78c | 2,700$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…b6debacked Yes | 1c | 2,697$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf0…47bdbacked Yes | 0c | 2,689$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…9d93backed Yes | 56c | 2,660$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…4ac4backed No | 55c | 2,629$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…2c27backed No | 79c | 2,550$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd81…fe97backed No | 79c | 2,550$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a88ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,513$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…4950backed No | 66c | 2,138$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…16a2backed Yes | 55c | 2,115$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…2802backed Yes | 40c | 2,067$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…2267backed Yes | 0c | 2,040$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 1,961$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.83 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 43c | 1,941$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.76 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 65c | 1,919$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a5…99e3backed Yes | 23c | 1,874$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0404…8353backed Yes | 30c | 1,829$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.62 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7a…2487backed Yes | 60c | 1,757$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 18c | 1,739$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.68 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed Yes | 29c | 1,639$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.85 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +309.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 70c | 1,631$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?this page
- Will the next Dutch government be CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be another combination?No won
- Will there be no coalition by October 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.