World Politics · resolved market
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56c45af8a9da0502092edaa3ca192d0798fa02460c838f09764c90d4635b6577
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,188,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $910,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,188,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 503 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 53,211$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.39 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 0cpaid | +2,830.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…4346backed Yes | 37c | 31,100$11,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,578.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f74…f100backed Yes | 29c | 27,600$7,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,921.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 25c | 20,655$5,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,079.31 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44af…1050backed Yes | 0c | 18,831$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…0c1bbacked Yes | 28c | 17,380$4,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,837.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…9d66backed Yes | 28c | 17,300$4,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,867.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 15,606$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…e456backed Yes | 31c | 15,100$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…810cbacked Yes | 31c | 13,700$4,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,247 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53f…9816backed Yes | 31c | 13,500$4,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,171.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cd…005fbacked Yes | 32c | 13,240$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7449…21b6backed Yes | 37c | 12,500$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 24c | 10,553$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.86 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8d…ce3abacked No | 69c | 10,100$6,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,171.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd378…29a4backed No | 71c | 9,800$6,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…c1ffbacked No | 71c | 9,200$6,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…5b5ebacked No | 71c | 8,600$6,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 27c | 8,066$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.44 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…2120backed No | 63c | 7,100$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0485…1557backed No | 69c | 7,000$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5484…3426backed No | 69c | 6,900$4,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…1865backed No | 68c | 6,810$4,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…933cbacked No | 69c | 6,700$4,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 21c | 6,685$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.06 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…689ebacked No | 69c | 6,600$4,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 15c | 6,570$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.56 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…2e0cbacked No | 68c | 6,430$4,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 6,386$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9822…ec5cbacked No | 72c | 6,200$4,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd256…b945backed Yes | 19c | 6,182$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.1 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…f471backed Yes | 7c | 6,139$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.06 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 5,916$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…745dbacked No | 72c | 5,900$4,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…6509backed No | 72c | 5,800$4,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…1e61backed No | 72c | 5,680$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…79c3backed No | 72c | 5,600$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b95…ffbbbacked No | 72c | 5,500$3,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…8e18backed No | 63c | 5,400$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…112cbacked No | 69c | 5,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Yes | 23c | 4,947$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.71 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0404…8353backed Yes | 29c | 4,415$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.01 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 23c | 4,122$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.61 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +223.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…c37cbacked Yes | 23c | 4,090$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.49 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 4,008$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.78 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…5400backed Yes | 19c | 3,883$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.96 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…6a7ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,820$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4599…755bbacked No | 62c | 3,492$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 16cpaid | +385.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f58…129abacked Yes | 30c | 3,164$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +582.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…efffbacked Yes | 28c | 3,041$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0723…2762backed Yes | 16c | 3,012$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +254%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8e…1cd4backed Yes | 1c | 2,878$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 26c | 2,850$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.08 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed Yes | 25c | 2,800$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb596…a40cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,780$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f2…aaa2backed Yes | 1c | 2,776$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd9…490ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,775$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…7944backed Yes | 1c | 2,775$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4988…8ce4backed Yes | 1c | 2,738$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd6…2080backed Yes | 1c | 2,726$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…28d9backed Yes | 5c | 2,719$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 2,710$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…8ba3backed Yes | 1c | 2,674$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 6c | 2,618$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.46 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 12c | 2,404$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.06 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…1ab0backed Yes | 3c | 2,383$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 25c | 2,290$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.44 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +640.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Yes | 7c | 2,015$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…1c08backed Yes | 31c | 2,012$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.04 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…16a2backed Yes | 49c | 1,925$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…a5c0backed No | 75c | 1,810$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…b9bfbacked Yes | 32c | 1,750$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f35…4437backed No | 73c | 1,746$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +397.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed No | 72c | 1,724$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.55 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…d8efbacked No | 68c | 1,694$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…d4e9backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 39c | 1,426$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.66 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc1…73d8backed No | 73c | 1,332$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…7acdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,325$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…8599backed Yes | 33c | 1,289$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3e71backed Yes | 4c | 1,257$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Yes | 31c | 1,256$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 15c | 1,223$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.94 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae8…0a59backed Yes | 14c | 1,187$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 65c | 1,168$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.34 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +309.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,160$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.01 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…78b8backed No | 71c | 1,133$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 43c | 1,105$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.65 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…efc6backed No | 67c | 1,084$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6252…495dbacked No | 68c | 1,062$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,030$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 5c | 1,020$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6651…e3ebbacked No | 63c | 999.99$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…eea5backed Yes | 30c | 967.47$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 3c | 880$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc0…d015backed Yes | 26c | 864.14$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac6…6462backed Yes | 14c | 862.17$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18a…19cfbacked Yes | 29c | 849.2$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?this page
- Will the next Dutch government be CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be another combination?No won
- Will there be no coalition by October 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.