World Politics · resolved market
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f39be217d3f2a907e0d978e164d9ca0a607f27267113806383fa81e47aa5d5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,208,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,123,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,208,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 62c | 83,082$51,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,240.68 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 12c | 41,615$5,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,458.19 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8b…cb8ebacked Yes | 20c | 21,921$4,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,599.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +229.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 74c | 20,646$15,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440.56 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a2…695fbacked Yes | 16c | 18,528$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,528.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +192.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…b519backed Yes | 24c | 18,250$4,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,900.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +319.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…761cbacked Yes | 11c | 15,831$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,083.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +805.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d97…2413backed Yes | 19c | 15,500$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,566.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +164.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0404…8353backed Yes | 64c | 15,096$9,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,446.01 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 74c | 12,320$9,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.75 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…c582backed Yes | 26c | 11,134$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,206.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +280.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 10,516$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.36 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb83…306fbacked Yes | 11c | 10,013$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,937.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +210.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19c…f16bbacked Yes | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +169%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed Yes | 27c | 9,849$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,221.73 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x881d…6e3bbacked No | 28c | 9,700$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 3c | 9,654$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,379.99 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…8cecbacked No | 2c | 8,162$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 7,885$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc00d…6cd3backed Yes | 5c | 7,668$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,268.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…5400backed Yes | 27c | 7,551$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,529.92 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 6c | 7,387$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,925.87 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…ec63backed No | 30c | 6,900$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…e6c8backed No | 76c | 6,550$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…cc6fbacked No | 2c | 6,390$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb133…de17backed No | 76c | 6,100$4,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,636.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 39c | 5,875$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.6 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…1005backed No | 2c | 5,837$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 5,719$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa818…0de9backed No | 76c | 5,600$4,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,267.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…9ae7backed No | 1c | 5,515$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 5,259$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,247 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 0cpaid | +2,830.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b70…b229backed Yes | 13c | 5,085$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,406.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +149.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…7df3backed Yes | 12c | 4,998$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,396.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +731.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…a2b6backed No | 1c | 4,890$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…8031backed No | 3c | 4,588$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 11c | 4,543$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.5 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 16c | 4,456$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.43 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c8…1b8abacked Yes | 1c | 4,443$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,380.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +7,042.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…0c36backed Yes | 2c | 4,426$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 2cpaid | +6,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 71c | 4,316$3,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,047.48 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 40c | 4,311$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.79 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…7cd4backed No | 1c | 4,038$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…738ebacked No | 2c | 4,005$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 3,675$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…200ebacked Yes | 70c | 3,650$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a5…6147backed Yes | 14c | 3,615$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +141%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked No | 9c | 3,506$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…713dbacked Yes | 72c | 3,500$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114a…9a8ebacked Yes | 72c | 3,400$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ec…41edbacked Yes | 70c | 3,250$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54d…1adcbacked Yes | 13c | 3,199$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +645.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 34c | 2,933$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.94 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae8…0a59backed Yes | 35c | 2,864$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b1…e485backed Yes | 72c | 2,800$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…c37cbacked Yes | 40c | 2,725$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.53 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…74e0backed Yes | 4c | 2,704$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +801.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 1c | 2,630$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 4c | 2,600$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.23 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +223.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe209…3ebfbacked Yes | 19c | 2,596$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.61per pick | 14cpaid | +693.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd118…e32fbacked No | 2c | 2,503$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…6a8abacked Yes | 5c | 2,449$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +378.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…1c08backed Yes | 11c | 2,431$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.04 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 13c | 2,400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.26per pick | 22cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8825…a842backed No | 1c | 2,386$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 2c | 2,336$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab86…c86dbacked No | 1c | 2,280$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…03bcbacked No | 1c | 2,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 67c | 2,097$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 8c | 2,042$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.08 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d7…cd0abacked No | 1c | 2,031$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfc…98e0backed No | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3e71backed Yes | 6c | 1,900$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd256…b945backed Yes | 19c | 1,779$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.48 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 8c | 1,759$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 75c | 1,746$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.15 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…218cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,695$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 55c | 1,611$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.44 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc6…7007backed No | 8c | 1,519$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed Yes | 7c | 1,511$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.17 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbf…24e2backed Yes | 25c | 1,507$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +197.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 36c | 1,505$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.98 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 9c | 1,476$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.84 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…ab91backed Yes | 16c | 1,470$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 42c | 1,444$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.74 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +7.0wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…9b4abacked No | 4c | 1,441$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0723…2762backed Yes | 7c | 1,433$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +254%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…91a5backed Yes | 12c | 1,416$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed No | 50c | 1,403$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc1…73d8backed Yes | 8c | 1,393$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 4c | 1,366$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 5c | 1,360$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.6 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +90%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 21c | 1,320$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.31per pick | 15cpaid | +216.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…c80fbacked No | 9c | 1,307$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…6202backed Yes | 20c | 1,282$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 1c | 1,261$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2747…d2c8backed Yes | 8c | 1,203$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +301.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…6a98backed Yes | 76c | 1,200$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 48c | 1,191$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.49 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?this page
- Will the next Dutch government be CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be another combination?No won
- Will there be no coalition by October 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.