Movies · resolved market
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc97a1d10a34399688ccea96d9a05db74135ff67dfee288c4d00379792dcf2011
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $396,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,305 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 4c | 123,302$4,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,597.93 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 79c | 16,567$13,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,485.57 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe491…ccd1backed Yes | 80c | 10,641$8,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 20c | 6,303$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.6 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 2c | 5,399$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…fe13backed Yes | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 17c | 3,313$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.8 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 79c | 2,493$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.26 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Yes | 78c | 2,200$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…54a5backed Yes | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541c…c462backed Yes | 80c | 1,600$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…c2c6backed No | 10c | 1,512$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 79c | 1,366$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.32 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Yes | 76c | 1,364$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…cc96backed No | 23c | 1,325$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…8277backed Yes | 80c | 1,057$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…b4eebacked No | 21c | 1,040$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed No | 21c | 1,012$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.52 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…f874backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 19c | 964.12$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.45 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed Yes | 80c | 849$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…6c92backed No | 21c | 825$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4569…6ae5backed Yes | 79c | 817.78$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 78c | 752.15$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.47 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed Yes | 79c | 747$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed No | 22c | 745.08$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed Yes | 79c | 727$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…3ceabacked No | 21c | 694$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Yes | 79c | 680$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed No | 21c | 664.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.23 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed No | 20c | 632$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…f251backed Yes | 79c | 631.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 18c | 615.12$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb279…173abacked Yes | 80c | 609.38$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e0…1acebacked Yes | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked No | 21c | 599$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.79 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 19c | 570.49$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 13c | 553.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 21c | 533.75$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 23c | 527$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 80c | 513.36$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.26 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa952…5ca1backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…bf33backed Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 78c | 499.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 20c | 486$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…99f7backed No | 16c | 483$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 19c | 459.79$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.07 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…4a8ebacked Yes | 79c | 430$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…4a94backed Yes | 79c | 428$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 74c | 419.32$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…0058backed Yes | 79c | 411$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed No | 18c | 408$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed No | 13c | 400$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed No | 17c | 360$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 79c | 357$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 3c | 352.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 10c | 346.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed Yes | 77c | 327.18$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed Yes | 78c | 321$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed No | 22c | 321$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5510backed Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 20c | 290.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…08f7backed Yes | 79c | 274$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked No | 21c | 272$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…9e4cbacked No | 24c | 270$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…399dbacked Yes | 76c | 270$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…8015backed Yes | 80c | 250.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked No | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 16c | 243.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 15c | 236.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed Yes | 79c | 226$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…5ad5backed No | 21c | 226$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed No | 16c | 209$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 19c | 198.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 19c | 195.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked Yes | 79c | 187$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 18c | 166.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 73c | 166.7$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 10c | 165$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…3c30backed No | 20c | 163$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 70c | 158.37$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 19c | 157.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…9896backed No | 21c | 156$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…04a9backed Yes | 79c | 154.62$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 79c | 149$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…4fe3backed Yes | 80c | 147.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 19c | 145.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -84%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 76c | 138.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612d…3fd1backed Yes | 79c | 137$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 20c | 130.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…3e1dbacked Yes | 79c | 127$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Frankenstein win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sirāt win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.