Movies · resolved market
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e97d6ca3294a0b34044822dae868b116356e442fe23a2e9120d86aa2566285b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,683 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x387e…56a5backed Yes | 6c | 6,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 16c | 4,224$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.18 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 16c | 3,443$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.47 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 9c | 3,132$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.78 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 15c | 2,962$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.95 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a9…22cdbacked Yes | 22c | 2,257$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,234$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.5 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 17c | 2,228$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.39 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Yes | 15c | 1,530$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.89 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…691cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,424$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…2930backed Yes | 20c | 1,266$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 16c | 1,152$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.94 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…12e5backed Yes | 12c | 1,126$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…41debacked Yes | 19c | 1,100$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5b…8ea5backed Yes | 19c | 1,100$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d1…8458backed Yes | 12c | 1,022$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…44acbacked Yes | 13c | 977$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.01 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…2fc2backed Yes | 12c | 962$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…0753backed Yes | 12c | 962$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ef…3413backed Yes | 12c | 956$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 13c | 937.08$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.49 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x109d…9274backed Yes | 19c | 930$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…a500backed Yes | 19c | 930$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 12c | 791$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…26b4backed Yes | 13c | 719$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…0726backed Yes | 12c | 680$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed Yes | 14c | 667$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…ae82backed Yes | 77c | 645.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…9357backed Yes | 13c | 644$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…fd88backed Yes | 16c | 641.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 15c | 641.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…faddbacked Yes | 19c | 640$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0672…5763backed Yes | 19c | 640$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb6…ad74backed Yes | 12c | 640$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes | 18c | 596.1$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 9c | 589.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.04 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…3778backed Yes | 16c | 560.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Yes | 15c | 546$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 15c | 545$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 528.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…24e6backed Yes | 19c | 522$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 13c | 518$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed Yes | 13c | 468$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…fc01backed Yes | 14c | 465$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Yes | 17c | 441.24$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…7a78backed Yes | 13c | 433$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked Yes | 15c | 425$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 11c | 407.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb698…5ae5backed Yes | 6c | 401$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f0…f05fbacked Yes | 12c | 394$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked Yes | 15c | 377$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +44%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 18c | 344.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…374ebacked Yes | 6c | 329$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 8c | 321.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 16c | 305$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 79c | 300$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9846…ca9ebacked No | 78c | 300$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…2fe3backed Yes | 9c | 299.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 9c | 284.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…f32cbacked Yes | 14c | 283.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 13c | 282$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…2d8abacked Yes | 15c | 278$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…2372backed Yes | 14c | 266$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36c…6b40backed Yes | 19c | 256.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 16c | 251.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 77c | 230.78$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…f5ebbacked Yes | 15c | 218$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec72…5f04backed Yes | 19c | 207.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 197.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb3…0434backed Yes | 12c | 196.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…f6f2backed Yes | 19c | 189.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3655…e7b8backed Yes | 12c | 188.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 16c | 180.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0237…b076backed Yes | 17c | 173.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 16c | 166.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6b…2a84backed Yes | 9c | 166.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +237.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 10c | 158.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Yes | 20c | 153.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked Yes | 12c | 152$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 151.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…7a52backed Yes | 14c | 147.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…021fbacked Yes | 12c | 142.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73a…b8d3backed Yes | 16c | 135.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…f19dbacked Yes | 13c | 131.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 15c | 127$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…15f5backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 13c | 124.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8e…b419backed Yes | 16c | 122.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…9c2bbacked Yes | 17c | 120.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed7…767ebacked Yes | 21c | 120.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…305dbacked Yes | 12c | 117.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9b6fbacked Yes | 17c | 114.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb7…a911backed Yes | 15c | 114$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…6822backed Yes | 17c | 111$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28b…3d9bbacked Yes | 18c | 109.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5a…718abacked Yes | 15c | 109$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Frankenstein win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sirāt win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.