Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd363b3bb7721c5d8df8976d893c804c1fb99584d1ae81a400d6d640496a030a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 49c | 14,014$6,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,107.09 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 70c | 13,733$9,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,083.01 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 33c | 13,678$4,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,552.88 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8631…9a73backed No | 56c | 11,445$6,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.13 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…3ca0backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1a67backed Yes | 49c | 9,550$4,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,694.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 14c | 9,071$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.65 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 65c | 8,313$5,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.97 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 14c | 7,543$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.63 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed No | 55c | 6,973$3,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.13 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 17c | 5,429$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.29 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…8601backed No | 77c | 4,823$3,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9e…be96backed No | 58c | 3,576$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.8 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb83a…2a7ebacked Yes | 27c | 3,554$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.43 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…3130backed Yes | 27c | 3,356$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d0…57c5backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,944$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.39 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 61c | 2,389$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.99 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 26c | 2,250$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 32c | 2,200$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.98 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…d72fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,127$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1d…e3c3backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 36c | 1,986$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.42per pick | 55cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…0d55backed Yes | 41c | 1,944$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.45 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,837$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 44c | 1,679$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.05 | 136 | 22.8%31 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…6c40backed No | 61c | 1,556$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 39c | 1,550$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.24 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked No | 72c | 1,508$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.75 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 50c | 1,387$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.1 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed No | 64c | 1,354$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked No | 46c | 1,270$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.36 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +12.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 1,233$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d0…9e65backed No | 52c | 1,204$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.28 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 68c | 1,174$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.55 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 36c | 1,154$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.47 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 46c | 1,149$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.34 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…d45bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,116$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.79 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ce…f829backed No | 58c | 1,064$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.03 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.7wins | +0.33per pick | 49cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0620…8c8dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,012$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Yes | 55c | 999.98$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b0…ce2cbacked No | 73c | 971.29$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.11 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1043backed Yes | 11c | 936.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebc…8bdcbacked Yes | 52c | 881.34$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.3 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb572…33a1backed Yes | 53c | 860.99$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…eceabacked Yes | 53c | 847.94$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…e4fbbacked No | 74c | 829.45$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed Yes | 42c | 799.98$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 61c | 792.31$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Yes | 32c | 778.12$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…3c39backed Yes | 39c | 762.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…36b8backed Yes | 37c | 753.47$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed No | 76c | 646.05$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…fa11backed No | 65c | 615$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.4 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…9d19backed Yes | 42c | 613.64$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b86…3c74backed Yes | 53c | 599.98$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…4cadbacked No | 70c | 576.18$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.01 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…e66fbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 30c | 500$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 9c | 473.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c45…7786backed No | 77c | 471.77$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 54c | 432.69$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.75 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…e412backed No | 75c | 429.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b58…f7cbbacked Yes | 47c | 429.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked No | 53c | 419.79$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.48 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…afe2backed No | 58c | 417.24$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.24 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…b1d3backed No | 60c | 405$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd486…2287backed Yes | 16c | 404.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 39c | 402$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98b7…4947backed Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…fa64backed Yes | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +150.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf43…ddf6backed No | 61c | 377.15$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed No | 67c | 375$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…6af5backed Yes | 25c | 357$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 37c | 347.87$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…7c02backed No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 94 | 75.5%71 W · 23 L | +10.9wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 64c | 338.61$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.37 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…77fdbacked Yes | 30c | 329.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde89…e378backed No | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…4402backed No | 38c | 316.05$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…32afbacked Yes | 64c | 310.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…e1e3backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…6f38backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f3…28d1backed No | 60c | 290$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…21ccbacked Yes | 11c | 284.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…9357backed Yes | 36c | 280.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…2030backed No | 76c | 280$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.