Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x800be7611c7efcdf5827c049e0baac8b6047b506af412e283dbac9ce7e202560
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 65c | 3,709$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 49c | 2,238$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0761…ad5cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,171$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 51c | 2,072$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 64c | 1,604$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed Yes | 61c | 1,600$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 51c | 1,500$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 44c | 1,438$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34aa…ab6bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,400$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e9…fc96backed No | 75c | 1,330$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 36c | 1,279$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.93 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 44c | 1,223$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.39 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 40c | 1,193$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.87 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 28c | 1,137$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3caf…6d8abacked No | 51c | 1,117$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 59c | 1,060$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.35 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -6.5wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcfac…804bbacked Yes | 64c | 992.47$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…2ed3backed Yes | 65c | 944.14$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 72c | 925.86$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.25 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 46c | 774.75$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +178.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 30c | 769.39$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 719.72$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.04 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5510backed Yes | 59c | 700$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 38c | 698.9$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.91 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…b007backed Yes | 77c | 648.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 63c | 644.08$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.87 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dad…ee77backed Yes | 63c | 637.84$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 38c | 622.71$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.58 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 35c | 600.86$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.56 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked Yes | 69c | 470.09$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…ef6bbacked Yes | 63c | 458.58$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed Yes | 63c | 438.68$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2d…ff5bbacked Yes | 70c | 411.96$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…e69bbacked No | 34c | 399.47$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646d…0d58backed No | 37c | 387.66$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…8e2bbacked Yes | 67c | 370.26$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked Yes | 67c | 359.52$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.67 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 57c | 328.62$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 53c | 319.08$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.45 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 47c | 317.53$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 37c | 317.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 28c | 310.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.76 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…6090backed Yes | 79c | 296.39$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 54c | 289.43$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.14 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…5ffdbacked No | 38c | 270$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 36c | 258$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.57 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 44c | 257$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.72 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…3a47backed Yes | 70c | 245.24$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 36c | 237.12$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c30…7673backed No | 43c | 235$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 39c | 230.08$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…0307backed Yes | 70c | 229.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 55c | 229.82$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2973…700dbacked Yes | 70c | 213.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 33c | 212.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.12 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 60c | 204.02$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 31c | 203.36$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…441cbacked Yes | 54c | 186.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…bad4backed Yes | 54c | 185.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 38c | 182.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.26 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bd…6184backed Yes | 54c | 168.07$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9939…4993backed Yes | 63c | 159.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…4d44backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 22c | 157$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9d…e50dbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 57c | 153.9$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb66…5e13backed Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed Yes | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Yes | 74c | 146.24$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…6daabacked Yes | 72c | 144.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…2900backed Yes | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 74c | 137.8$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 65c | 135$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 35c | 134$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e61…5a25backed Yes | 65c | 133.21$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…c177backed No | 27c | 132.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 62c | 132.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 47c | 128.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 34c | 119.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 25c | 115.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 64c | 113.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 45c | 112.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 309 | 18.1%56 W · 253 L | -29.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x734c…1d86backed No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…5853backed Yes | 68c | 111$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 50c | 108.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 72c | 107$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Yes | 79c | 101.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ca…60aebacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…cac8backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…163ebacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…5b53backed No | 35c | 99.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 35c | 98.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 36c | 98.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 35c | 92.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3406…6ce0backed No | 33c | 91.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe230…f440backed Yes | 55c | 90.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 40c | 90.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?this page
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?No won
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Yes won
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?No won
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?No won
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.5% and 5.8%?No won
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%?No won
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.