Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ccef198fac90ac8a29aed052fc8c5c08b16bff84b3b4ded112248a9d8f885c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 22c | 5,829$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,542.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0761…ad5cbacked No | 0c | 2,118$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e1…69a6backed Yes | 7c | 2,074$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +677.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…9e4abacked Yes | 30c | 1,990$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 1,305$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 61c | 1,102$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.39 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…f32fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,035$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +632.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 30c | 906.49$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 68c | 892.75$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.59 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 757.46$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.7 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 65c | 738.5$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.19 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…83c7backed Yes | 42c | 720.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c30…7673backed Yes | 44c | 675.31$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 58c | 671.6$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.76 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 77c | 668.35$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.49 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 31c | 548.85$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 79c | 548.39$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.92 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 70c | 500.22$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.56 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed Yes | 32c | 452.8$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.75 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 67c | 446.89$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.97 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 6c | 442$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.48 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 423.41$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 72c | 402.99$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.13 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…5ffdbacked Yes | 33c | 399.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 399.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 74c | 372.07$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.26 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 368.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.18 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 72c | 345.64$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.96 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 332.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.87 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 31c | 327.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed No | 76c | 326.88$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…e3fcbacked Yes | 39c | 309.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…5b53backed Yes | 32c | 263.66$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 258$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.21 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 60c | 255$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.82 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 65c | 247.1$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.76 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 7c | 244.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.33 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 62c | 222.01$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 67c | 220$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…0673backed Yes | 45c | 214.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 34c | 204$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…346abacked Yes | 11c | 187.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +369.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…2429backed Yes | 21c | 186.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +366.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 22c | 181.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 164$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 48c | 160.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…4d44backed No | 64c | 156.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 67c | 150$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 73c | 145.54$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 13c | 135$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 63c | 126.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…0fe1backed Yes | 38c | 124.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…9b6cbacked Yes | 36c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 64c | 112.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…bad4backed No | 61c | 109.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e6…a59dbacked Yes | 29c | 103.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +246%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…737ebacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1000…7bdcbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…6bf7backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…ed54backed Yes | 24c | 99.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +323.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Yes | 36c | 98.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 69c | 90.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…2ed3backed Yes | 33c | 85.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 54c | 81.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 78c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 32c | 78.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 71c | 77.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 78c | 77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 70c | 76.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…cc69backed Yes | 29c | 69.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x119d…bec3backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 55c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 65c | 64.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 33c | 59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 49c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 21c | 56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 65c | 55.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 47c | 55.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa8…e07abacked Yes | 20c | 54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d25…98abbacked Yes | 47c | 53.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa32d…df56backed No | 77c | 52.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…4c3abacked Yes | 32c | 52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…2ad3backed Yes | 39c | 51.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 61c | 51.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked No | 67c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…dd8abacked No | 67c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…755cbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…4fb4backed Yes | 32c | 49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +208%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 39c | 45.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bd…6184backed Yes | 33c | 45.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…5bf7backed Yes | 33c | 45.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +202.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?this page
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?No won
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?No won
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?No won
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?No won
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.5% and 5.8%?No won
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%?No won
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.