CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c9a4f5c84ba8a7b39d539c0a18073de8e6731f43a07632330e2380b8ff39a36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof TheMongolz, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 23,215$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked TheMongolz | 60c | 21,485$12,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,984.61 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis | 47c | 17,345$8,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,220.24 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Astralis | 39c | 11,798$4,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,224.8 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Astralis | 45c | 10,106$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,604.2 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Astralis | 40c | 9,365$3,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,635.4 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked TheMongolz | 54c | 9,110$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.9 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Astralis | 40c | 7,963$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,777.62 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Astralis | 40c | 6,500$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,925 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed TheMongolz | 54c | 5,540$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.35 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astralis | 61c | 4,294$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.72 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Astralis | 39c | 3,500$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 2,811$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.09 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked TheMongolz | 39c | 2,660$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.39 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Astralis | 42c | 2,481$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.62 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Astralis | 65c | 2,326$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.24 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis | 38c | 2,319$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.99 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed TheMongolz | 34c | 1,973$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…4b41backed TheMongolz | 61c | 1,968$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.46 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed TheMongolz | 61c | 1,963$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.6 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 46c | 1,901$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.04 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 1,800$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 1,757$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.94 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Astralis | 41c | 1,734$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.48 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed TheMongolz | 50c | 1,628$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.28 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed TheMongolz | 63c | 1,597$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed TheMongolz | 9c | 1,583$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 39c | 1,472$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.79 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 1,378$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.56 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked TheMongolz | 61c | 1,270$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.55 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Astralis | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked TheMongolz | 25c | 1,187$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.13 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…4895backed TheMongolz | 17c | 1,171$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Astralis | 50c | 1,170$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.37 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b0…9fb0backed TheMongolz | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 52c | 796$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.9 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8860…4708backed Astralis | 47c | 704.6$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.02 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Astralis | 39c | 700$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed TheMongolz | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed TheMongolz | 22c | 599.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked TheMongolz | 61c | 599.15$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.48 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed TheMongolz | 60c | 510.04$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.02 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Astralis | 59c | 504.14$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.11 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Astralis | 39c | 499.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…f1babacked Astralis | 40c | 498.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.07 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 440$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3357…42fabacked TheMongolz | 60c | 421$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 419.18$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.93 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Astralis | 40c | 399.66$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.8 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 344.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.43 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Astralis | 40c | 339.95$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.97 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed TheMongolz | 63c | 316.35$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.3 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked TheMongolz | 34c | 306.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Astralis | 73c | 300$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ff…281bbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 289.14$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…757fbacked TheMongolz | 14c | 287.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc457…3047backed TheMongolz | 62c | 273.41$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Astralis | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f72…6544backed TheMongolz | 61c | 239.34$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked TheMongolz | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed TheMongolz | 59c | 221.46$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.66 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed TheMongolz | 39c | 210.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Astralis | 55c | 207.47$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2040…f5e1backed TheMongolz | 60c | 204.6$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TheMongolz | 5c | 203.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed TheMongolz | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed TheMongolz | 30c | 193$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…29d6backed TheMongolz | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…4946backed TheMongolz | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked TheMongolz | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…bb5ebacked TheMongolz | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…33bfbacked TheMongolz | 62c | 162.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…6c1dbacked TheMongolz | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -7.9wins | -0.36per pick | 68cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Astralis | 48c | 161.22$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed TheMongolz | 22c | 154.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed TheMongolz | 37c | 150.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Astralis | 73c | 137.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b1…d0b5backed TheMongolz | 61c | 132.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 131.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked TheMongolz | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb027…888fbacked Astralis | 41c | 126.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd72f…e009backed Astralis | 40c | 124.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…4ebebacked TheMongolz | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed TheMongolz | 43c | 109.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…068abacked TheMongolz | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Astralis | 40c | 105.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed TheMongolz | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f4…eadebacked TheMongolz | 29c | 105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Astralis | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8919…feb1backed TheMongolz | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…f91bbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Astralis | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…82f7backed TheMongolz | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed TheMongolz | 52c | 94.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ae…5f26backed TheMongolz | 60c | 92.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Astralis | 47c | 80.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1448backed TheMongolz | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.