Movies · resolved market

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6874c7708bc4b4a079a92b598f98f837f218aebdd14c0b0814bd5d555659d606

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 22, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,806,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,482,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,806,947 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 782 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x06dc…af59backed Yes	39c	113,567$44,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,128.64	260	41.2%107 W · 153 L	+15.4wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71fc…171abacked Yes	20c	91,633$17,922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,921.58	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b67…1b07backed Yes	27c	43,621$11,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,687.55	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes	36c	32,095$11,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,435.01	326	39.3%128 W · 198 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71b9…c8adbacked Yes	27c	23,856$6,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,453.91	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed No	67c	22,747$15,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,602.79	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	50c	20,275$10,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,178.67	39	10.3%4 W · 35 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	22c	16,860$3,737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,737.06	135	34.8%47 W · 88 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed Yes	26c	15,200$4,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,007.17	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…b1fdbacked Yes	37c	11,370$4,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,208.7	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes	8c	11,100$878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$878.05	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-81.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…2202backed Yes	38c	10,485$4,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,008.55	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-4.3wins	-0.22per pick	44cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	72c	10,472$7,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,966.7	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Yes	15c	10,408$1,551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,551.25	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes	22c	10,185$2,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,233.69	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Yes	29c	10,113$2,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,964.63	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	20c	10,105$1,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,990.76	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeee8…79dfbacked Yes	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes	16c	8,766$1,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,433.06	160	40%64 W · 96 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes	53c	8,707$4,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,632.27	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd86e…ee3ebacked Yes	10c	8,584$885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$884.71	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a01…6397backed Yes	11c	8,513$938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.87	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	6c	8,347$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.73	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf5c4…0926backed Yes	37c	7,771$2,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,840	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Yes	41c	7,436$3,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,083.4	200	49.5%99 W · 101 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2436…1858backed Yes	14c	7,276$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes	32c	7,006$2,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,209.08	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes	36c	6,872$2,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,467.48	285	28.8%82 W · 203 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Yes	14c	6,593$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$948.8	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes	28c	6,352$1,796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,795.95	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Yes	36c	6,213$2,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,253.65	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x197c…9b94backed Yes	16c	6,178$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.8	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	67c	5,999$4,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,979.67	177	51.4%91 W · 86 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Yes	25c	5,927$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked Yes	36c	5,818$2,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,120.55	67	31.3%21 W · 46 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f0…1e82backed Yes	25c	5,696$1,446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,445.89	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	71c	5,694$4,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,653.22	230	41.7%96 W · 134 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	19c	5,425$1,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,008.54	62	22.6%14 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bca…b60abacked Yes	21c	5,226$1,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,103.39	114	21.9%25 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	12c	5,195$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.94	328	14.9%49 W · 279 L	+14.2wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes	32c	5,125$1,626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,626.38	59	11.9%7 W · 52 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a9f…7482backed Yes	20c	5,027$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990.3	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…cae1backed Yes	45c	4,995$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,249.92	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7be…f3ecbacked Yes	9c	4,942$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.48	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed Yes	36c	4,942$1,779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,778.72	187	46%86 W · 101 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-20%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Yes	6c	4,867$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ce…9811backed Yes	13c	4,409$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.25	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-28%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fa6…4465backed Yes	14c	4,000$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.48	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec0…8336backed Yes	8c	3,996$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.64	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6364…09a8backed Yes	19c	3,974$754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$754.11	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.33per pick	58cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x497b…aba5backed Yes	20c	3,920$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.15	95	45.3%43 W · 52 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No	73c	3,745$2,746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.57	137	40.1%55 W · 82 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b56…181dbacked Yes	15c	3,449$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.06	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdef0…3d06backed Yes	21c	3,300$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.19	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa099…d81fbacked Yes	47c	3,265$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,520.48	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-65%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f5…2186backed Yes	22c	3,255$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.92	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Yes	7c	3,207$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.49	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	31cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd912…903ebacked Yes	16c	3,071$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf4…7021backed Yes	26c	3,066$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809.32	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0de9…e633backed Yes	32c	3,013$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$963.63	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No	64c	3,011$1,924 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,087.27	71	25.4%18 W · 53 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Yes	49c	3,000$1,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,475.07	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea96…11e3backed Yes	33c	3,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.13per pick	26cpaid	+6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6996…408dbacked No	56c	3,000$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,320	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes	15c	3,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b9f…0fc9backed Yes	22c	3,000$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa296…386cbacked Yes	14c	2,981$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.37	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96e9…4b32backed No	54c	2,932$1,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,345.43	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+3.9wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+52.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes	22c	2,920$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.32	64	4.7%3 W · 61 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	10cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1766…5705backed Yes	69c	2,899$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe66a…a0a0backed Yes	37c	2,828$1,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,045.35	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ee9…69a0backed Yes	9c	2,827$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fd…48fbbacked Yes	8c	2,700$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.42	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc21e…0215backed Yes	57c	2,662$1,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,523.61	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7d…5bd2backed Yes	21c	2,639$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.67	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes	8c	2,588$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.93	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b6…7fecbacked Yes	55c	2,582$1,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,419.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Yes	14c	2,579$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	25cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9804…6896backed Yes	14c	2,544$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.01	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+88.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes	25c	2,536$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637.48	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes	14c	2,530$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.14	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x110f…8f39backed Yes	14c	2,394$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.05	44	72.7%32 W · 12 L	+8.7wins	+0.20per pick	53cpaid	+59.9%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Yes	24c	2,295$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.57	146	28.1%41 W · 105 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x997a…1b8fbacked Yes	10c	2,289$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.22	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	16cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1da…0370backed No	71c	2,253$1,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$646.29	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+144.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes	40c	2,232$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$889.14	103	31.1%32 W · 71 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x964f…ca58backed Yes	10c	2,207$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.56	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc43…abf5backed No	75c	2,171$1,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.63	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes	49c	2,167$1,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,053.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x705d…c60abacked Yes	12c	2,115$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.79	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed Yes	37c	2,093$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.22	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb06…fc06backed Yes	9c	2,090$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb028…8686backed Yes	23c	2,042$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	236	39.8%94 W · 142 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes	35c	2,038$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.13	285	24.2%69 W · 216 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	28c	2,026$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.7	105	49.5%52 W · 53 L	+6.5wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa90f…62d6backed Yes	21c	2,025$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes	51c	2,020$1,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,038.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	34c	2,012$682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$682.1	473	28.3%134 W · 339 L	-32.8wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01bf…070dbacked Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90d6…997abacked Yes	35c	2,000$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?this page
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?No won
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?No won
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?No won
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event