TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa90f…62d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+203%+$26.8
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$24.24
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.39
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+354.2%+$1,124.94
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$273
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.38
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Mathieu "ZywOo" Herbaut win the HLTV Player of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+45.1%+$45.14
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+36.6%+$137.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$430
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$504.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.