CS2 · resolved market
Will Mathieu "ZywOo" Herbaut win the HLTV Player of the Year award?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0e039b8f41835cc87e38a8f8f8f90474e9e1d3c5534066d35c405e45e5e33eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 5c | 2,192$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4485…037bbacked No | 7c | 2,161$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 1,691$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6284…6e40backed No | 8c | 1,192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…ea68backed No | 6c | 823.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 10c | 814.91$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e42…5856backed No | 19c | 746.48$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.11 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 73c | 741.5$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.51 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked No | 8c | 714.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked No | 7c | 636.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 6c | 605.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 2c | 558.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked No | 8c | 514.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 6c | 504.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686d…78d3backed No | 10c | 480.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…9dc5backed No | 6c | 449.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked No | 14c | 425$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 5c | 392.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 7c | 317.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948c…42eebacked No | 12c | 305.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7d…e40dbacked No | 8c | 251.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…75bfbacked No | 6c | 250.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…d5b1backed No | 24c | 235.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef4…56c3backed No | 10c | 190$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed No | 8c | 189.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14b…041bbacked No | 9c | 165.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…1676backed No | 9c | 159.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 9c | 152.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc46b…a180backed No | 9c | 149.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7198…5a49backed No | 9c | 148.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa90f…62d6backed Yes | 69c | 145.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 14c | 144.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc77e…3f78backed No | 9c | 134.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b04…6632backed No | 12c | 133.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c3…076dbacked No | 29c | 70.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…a45ebacked Yes | 65c | 68.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x666d…3a30backed Yes | 74c | 53.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dc…977dbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked No | 28c | 37.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b0…317dbacked Yes | 71c | 35.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…ed9fbacked Yes | 64c | 34.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…15cebacked Yes | 76c | 27.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 69c | 21.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…1aeabacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mathieu "ZywOo" Herbaut win the HLTV Player of the Year award?this page
- Will Danil "donk" Kryshkovets win the HLTV Player of the Year award?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.