TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Danil "donk" Kryshkovets win the HLTV Player of the Year award?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,760

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba8c…0010backed Yes7c11,308$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x506d…c03fbacked Yes6c8,682$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd2b…a7f5backed Yes6c4,439$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4485…037bbacked Yes8c3,790$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.75728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c8…2faebacked Yes5c3,400$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf5…9385backed Yes5c3,258$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0e…cbb6backed Yes28c2,344$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2587…d5b1backed Yes10c2,071$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3470%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c80…fec1backed Yes8c2,005$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8ed…b289backed Yes9c1,800$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c40…66a4backed Yes12c1,635$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf131…36f7backed Yes7c1,352$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.931369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+66.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7079…c307backed Yes13c1,295$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Yes6c1,292$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.535242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes9c1,223$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.831136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce6…7ecfbacked Yes6c1,083$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd07c…26fdbacked Yes10c988.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.792236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Yes6c966.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3518443.5%80 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f6…6305backed Yes9c944.64$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked Yes5c929.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.474841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x969c…e3d9backed Yes6c924.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked No63c921.67$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.0912736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed No74c900$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e8…18a1backed Yes6c897.34$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe619…8acabacked Yes10c813.34$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b3f…f5eebacked Yes7c711.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Yes27c680.64$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5927133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…390fbacked Yes4c664.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc036…b2e5backed Yes8c654.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd55e…e3cebacked Yes8c647.73$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x550c…3f21backed Yes15c631.87$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb17…dc94backed Yes8c595.32$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…c5e9backed Yes9c570.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c0…5110backed Yes6c515.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9550%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes8c508.18$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb335…6584backed Yes10c498$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e42…5856backed Yes22c496.94$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108929.2%26 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc14a…7627backed Yes4c494.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes4c491.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.89254%1 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-55.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cdc…8811backed Yes9c471.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.38933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5147…a0b7backed Yes9c457.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.511732.5%38 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeadf…5e0cbacked Yes9c457.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd47d…6befbacked Yes10c455.45$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0755…42d2backed Yes8c439.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5206…0f4cbacked Yes3c436.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5426535.5%94 W · 171 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a6…9837backed Yes5c435.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.244643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc733…a0febacked Yes9c430.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa46f…eda1backed Yes12c408.39$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Yes7c400$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.959243.5%40 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bca…b60abacked Yes7c398.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.082133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe556…6a2ebacked Yes6c381.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c1c…f4fabacked Yes7c381.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5747…6cf3backed Yes8c380$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Yes3c369.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7811655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Yes8c358.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1724249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9722…3d03backed Yes8c346$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc118…1b35backed Yes6c345.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes7c342.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3500…9dc5backed Yes6c341.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.891020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e2…ebc6backed Yes6c340$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82d…c40dbacked Yes8c328.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.318243.9%36 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacc4…a88fbacked Yes6c324.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c6…9407backed Yes10c307.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0e…128fbacked Yes16c302.36$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c0d…9a70backed Yes10c300.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf1d…5ea2backed Yes10c288.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3734…1674backed Yes9c283.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb2…3e05backed Yes5c274.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.751931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8308…7536backed Yes11c274.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12b…bb4fbacked Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fdf…e730backed Yes6c248.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dca…4613backed Yes8c247.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1f…2578backed Yes10c225.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fa3…0a6cbacked Yes9c224.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd405…0855backed Yes9c222.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c1…de26backed Yes9c211.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…9194backed Yes7c210$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe82d…5f64backed Yes6c206.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…ea68backed Yes10c203.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeba7…fea3backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.181421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c8c…9088backed Yes8c198.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c5c…eaf0backed Yes8c194.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes8c190.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4631735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b9…ca38backed Yes7c187.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.611338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc05a…11f6backed Yes8c185$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71db…f4f6backed Yes8c184.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56b7…31fabacked Yes6c172.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe142…6c24backed Yes6c170$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.173158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b04…6632backed Yes12c163.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.831850%9 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+51.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6432…1cf2backed Yes12c163.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeca…4382backed Yes6c159.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d8…3fd4backed Yes8c150.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71a7…cf28backed Yes8c146$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2897…8d03backed Yes8c142.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes17c141.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.573930.8%12 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb0…f7edbacked Yes9c133.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce88…ac0bbacked Yes8c125.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes19c124.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.151,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f37…c150backed Yes9c110.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.