TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, GIANTX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$263,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$321,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,838 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84ad…bfb7backed GIANTX38c13,329$5,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,078.521,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked GIANTX34c11,362$3,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,815.3295541.7%398 W · 557 L-31.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Karmine Corp49c11,110$5,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,688.3251044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed GIANTX34c10,183$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,43076642%322 W · 444 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50092254%498 W · 424 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed GIANTX23c9,315$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.1764455.6%358 W · 286 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Karmine Corp76c8,865$6,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.261,59653.7%857 W · 739 L+56.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Karmine Corp76c8,559$6,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.1670456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked GIANTX24c8,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92030945.3%140 W · 169 L+1.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Karmine Corp73c7,912$5,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1301,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Karmine Corp59c7,500$4,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,106.4654555.2%301 W · 244 L+24.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed GIANTX48c7,423$3,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,568.8789746.9%421 W · 476 L+43.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Karmine Corp80c7,111$5,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.581,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked GIANTX35c5,637$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.311,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed GIANTX38c5,632$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.8785942.7%367 W · 492 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Karmine Corp76c5,500$4,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2952,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked GIANTX38c5,393$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.781,00842.5%428 W · 580 L-24.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GIANTX3c5,363$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.382,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked GIANTX47c5,100$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.372,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed GIANTX54c5,000$2,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,707.041,01647%478 W · 538 L+21.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed GIANTX24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20030845.1%139 W · 169 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Karmine Corp47c4,629$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,466.041,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked GIANTX22c4,290$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.89636.5%35 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Karmine Corp66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36082953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Karmine Corp52c3,909$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.3767760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed GIANTX21c3,772$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.642,24037.3%836 W · 1,404 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked GIANTX3c3,342$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.251,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp77c3,333$2,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.591,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed GIANTX54c3,222$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.821,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Karmine Corp77c3,151$2,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.8458850.5%297 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Karmine Corp52c3,016$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.651,07147.1%504 W · 567 L+2.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Karmine Corp78c3,006$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.355056.7%312 W · 238 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Karmine Corp76c2,419$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.121,18751.9%616 W · 571 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Karmine Corp52c2,166$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8635431.1%110 W · 244 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed GIANTX24c2,035$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.741,22135.9%438 W · 783 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed GIANTX25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9963746.5%296 W · 341 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed GIANTX24c1,905$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.4917035.9%61 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed GIANTX56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9851748.2%249 W · 268 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed GIANTX42c1,768$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.9274250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked GIANTX29c1,715$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.0657546.3%266 W · 309 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9867…ea53backed GIANTX19c1,619$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9913752.6%72 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Karmine Corp77c1,600$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36851160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Karmine Corp62c1,582$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.331,00948.2%486 W · 523 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed Karmine Corp49c1,500$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77055639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed GIANTX41c1,500$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.384450.1%423 W · 421 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc639…b442backed Karmine Corp76c1,450$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3481968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked Karmine Corp74c1,434$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.1747453.4%253 W · 221 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked GIANTX22c1,387$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.2188544.3%392 W · 493 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a99…51bbbacked Karmine Corp75c1,329$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2383149.8%414 W · 417 L+2.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Karmine Corp57c1,315$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.451,31055.8%731 W · 579 L+43.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed GIANTX46c1,273$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.092,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Karmine Corp68c1,263$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.911,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Karmine Corp73c1,252$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.1615061.3%92 W · 58 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed GIANTX23c1,244$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.134146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked GIANTX23c1,200$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Karmine Corp55c1,140$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.5565047.4%308 W · 342 L+24.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd801…9eb0backed Karmine Corp57c1,102$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked GIANTX23c1,096$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.0530856.5%174 W · 134 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked GIANTX49c1,081$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.351,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x568b…5573backed GIANTX25c1,035$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.73925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5077…4956backed GIANTX25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017751.4%91 W · 86 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Karmine Corp75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25066459.8%397 W · 267 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Karmine Corp43c999.96$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.9815147%71 W · 80 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Karmine Corp74c959.03$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.2728166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked GIANTX23c875$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2567250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed GIANTX46c859.74$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.8950749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed GIANTX24c845.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5886943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Karmine Corp80c841.14$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3950355.3%278 W · 225 L-21.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked GIANTX33c814.37$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.2687443.1%377 W · 497 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed GIANTX25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028048.6%136 W · 144 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63da…d5cebacked GIANTX48c750$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.923129%9 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-41.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed GIANTX36c711$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.372,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac4…7310backed Karmine Corp73c684.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.8913854.3%75 W · 63 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Karmine Corp73c672.13$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5365556.2%368 W · 287 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7329…bebdbacked Karmine Corp45c669.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.3344153.3%235 W · 206 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed GIANTX24c667.67$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.241,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked Karmine Corp74c662.68$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5443358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Karmine Corp76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8953753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed GIANTX2c632.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0444451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed GIANTX22c621.5$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8947933.6%161 W · 318 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…5095backed GIANTX22c620.43$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.886633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Karmine Corp61c600$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2321,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Karmine Corp76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14425265.5%165 W · 87 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed GIANTX41c600$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.951,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked GIANTX47c560.19$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.2950242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked GIANTX57c559.79$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.082157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Karmine Corp76c529.2$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.21,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc35c…5994backed Karmine Corp76c519.48$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Karmine Corp58c517.58$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.5859341.8%248 W · 345 L-16.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Karmine Corp76c509$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.983,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Karmine Corp77c506.49$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4967457.3%386 W · 288 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked GIANTX37c500$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.51,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Karmine Corp72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14014547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c66…c204backed Karmine Corp80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee7c…70f2backed Karmine Corp51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24548834%166 W · 322 L+25.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58ff…0897backed Karmine Corp77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1153145.2%14 W · 17 L-5.8wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-28.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed GIANTX20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052344.9%235 W · 288 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Karmine Corp75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12521965.8%144 W · 75 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed Karmine Corp77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11545366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Karmine Corp69c499.99$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15336660.1%220 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.