Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10bfaa8dd2daacbc01ee43c59943e384519a3000590bfd66677237150c4a26a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 61c | 23,220$14,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,261.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Over | 39c | 16,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,760 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 38c | 9,842$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,102.21 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed Under | 61c | 2,180$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…6178backed Under | 61c | 1,350$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 75c | 731.71$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.47 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 41c | 683.31$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.81 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Under | 59c | 589$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.01 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 39c | 432.4$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.76 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 38c | 413.7$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.47 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 39c | 396.78$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.84 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 21c | 395.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 70c | 391.11$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.11 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 61c | 361.64$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba8…d72bbacked Under | 59c | 337$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.12 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 11c | 307.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 26c | 254.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.58 | 1,412 | 43.8%618 W · 794 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 38c | 253.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.18 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…d0acbacked Under | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 124 | 62.9%78 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 52c | 200.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 59c | 189.29$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.68 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 21c | 147.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 19c | 123.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 253 | 31.2%79 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4268…43e5backed Over | 46c | 107.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 25c | 100.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Over | 41c | 90.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Over | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 62c | 81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf99…74babacked Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…c314backed Under | 62c | 79.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 37c | 78.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 61c | 66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 60c | 62.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 55c | 48.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 48.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Under | 61c | 44.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Under | 54c | 43.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 40c | 31.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…03fcbacked Under | 61c | 26.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1eb…1240backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 61c | 18.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a9…c9a5backed Under | 61c | 16.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)GIANTX won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonGIANTX won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.