Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08b37949235346ac34167ed38bd8f1ec017bd6e5dea541314ba1be2316207e56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTXof Karmine Corp, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 32,536$18,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,315.4 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked GIANTX | 44c | 16,916$7,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,472.91 | 1,507 | 50.4%760 W · 747 L | +72.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked GIANTX | 44c | 11,111$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,222.14 | 1,535 | 54.9%843 W · 692 L | +40.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.97 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed GIANTX | 45c | 9,826$4,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,379.16 | 600 | 50.2%301 W · 299 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked GIANTX | 43c | 6,500$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed GIANTX | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed GIANTX | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 1,453 | 57.3%833 W · 620 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…b442backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 2,874$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.07 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Karmine Corp | 58c | 2,762$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 150 | 61.3%92 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 1,317$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.52 | 926 | 54%500 W · 426 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 1,062$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.8 | 1,805 | 51.3%926 W · 879 L | +54.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed GIANTX | 59c | 936.01$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.64 | 2,545 | 47.3%1,203 W · 1,342 L | -35.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked GIANTX | 43c | 910$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.4 | 1,066 | 54.8%584 W · 482 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked GIANTX | 42c | 888$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.04 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked GIANTX | 42c | 882.51$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.86 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 355 | 46.8%166 W · 189 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed GIANTX | 40c | 768.81$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.71 | 1,018 | 47.7%486 W · 532 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked GIANTX | 42c | 753.02$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.75 | 1,612 | 48.4%780 W · 832 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 719.97$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 674.33$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.67 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed GIANTX | 46c | 612.11$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.42 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed GIANTX | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed GIANTX | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked GIANTX | 42c | 494.18$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.67 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 482.14$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 656 | 63.1%414 W · 242 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1de…aadfbacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 408.21$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.84 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 400$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 1,279 | 42.5%544 W · 735 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566b…ceb9backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 399.95$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.97 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked GIANTX | 21c | 393.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.12 | 1,145 | 30.7%352 W · 793 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…8c79backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 380$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 365$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d1…8fe6backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…732abacked Karmine Corp | 59c | 340.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked GIANTX | 25c | 319.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.54 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GIANTX | 58c | 318.44$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.17 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 312.64$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 637 | 51.8%330 W · 307 L | +38.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…79bbbacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 307.14$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed GIANTX | 40c | 294.93$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.96 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked GIANTX | 45c | 274.74$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.1 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed GIANTX | 43c | 269.92$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 255.36$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…3668backed GIANTX | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 230.84$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 1,253 | 52.8%661 W · 592 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed GIANTX | 40c | 229.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.98 | 403 | 55.1%222 W · 181 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 227.18$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed GIANTX | 49c | 217.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked GIANTX | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed GIANTX | 24c | 200.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.08 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Karmine Corp | 58c | 193.86$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854b…e720backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 186$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 181.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…090dbacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 179.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 303 | 51.5%156 W · 147 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c35…7764backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked GIANTX | 45c | 177.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Karmine Corp | 57c | 176.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…649cbacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 175.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…be66backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 157.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…f827backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked GIANTX | 46c | 144.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed GIANTX | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…f3eabacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 116.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked GIANTX | 24c | 107.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 107.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed GIANTX | 41c | 101.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed GIANTX | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Karmine Corp | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 989 | 63.6%629 W · 360 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 97.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 1,578 | 48.5%765 W · 813 L | +18.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…af0abacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 89.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 659 | 56.1%370 W · 289 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 87.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Karmine Corp | 19c | 85.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x25fe…ba20backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 73.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…0c09backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 274 | 51.1%140 W · 134 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked Karmine Corp | 59c | 68.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 67.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 63.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed GIANTX | 44c | 59.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 631 | 49.9%315 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked GIANTX | 53c | 56.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…6eadbacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…8949backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 52.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…9832backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 448 | 37.9%170 W · 278 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…0897backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Karmine Corp | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 289 | 59.9%173 W · 116 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 383 | 44.6%171 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed GIANTX | 46c | 46.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Karmine Corp | 58c | 46.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 1,185 | 66.1%783 W · 402 L | +70.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 316 | 61.1%193 W · 123 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked GIANTX | 44c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 508 | 55.9%284 W · 224 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed GIANTX | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…dd07backed GIANTX | 27c | 38.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked GIANTX | 48c | 36.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonGIANTX won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.