Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dbdd45b15036e0ad1505b1e44458604d0361c9240c45a662dcb1907b2a28e18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $316,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x704c…20a5backed No | 0c | 129,319$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b3…0df0backed No | 1c | 26,611$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…a31fbacked No | 0c | 11,747$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…8309backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ca…0423backed No | 0c | 8,590$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…6e94backed Yes | 61c | 8,411$5,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 19cpaid | +1,415.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc045…8fc7backed No | 0c | 7,448$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…73b5backed No | 0c | 5,220$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 28c | 2,818$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.97 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…6829backed No | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5f…993bbacked No | 0c | 2,145$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 70c | 2,055$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.38 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 64c | 1,997$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.21 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 18c | 1,906$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.86 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…8880backed Yes | 51c | 1,763$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +248.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 14c | 1,545$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.97 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 34c | 1,447$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.17 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 80c | 1,200$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.22 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4044…8de5backed Yes | 29c | 1,169$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.14 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 53c | 1,155$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.53 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 78c | 1,088$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.5 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 20c | 973$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf6…cb6abacked No | 25c | 882.52$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 867.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.95 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 12c | 845.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 18c | 841.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.61 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 66c | 822.76$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked Yes | 12c | 799.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.97 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 59c | 781.77$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.24 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…115cbacked No | 22c | 625$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…75d9backed Yes | 78c | 599.97$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…0387backed No | 20c | 590.1$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed No | 24c | 584.85$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83cc…3bcdbacked No | 20c | 503.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b10…40a1backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…966bbacked Yes | 10c | 500$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.64 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…f359backed Yes | 13c | 499.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +168.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…eee6backed No | 66c | 488.37$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829d…dffdbacked Yes | 53c | 474.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 458.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.65 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 27c | 446.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.69 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5354…710dbacked No | 30c | 445.3$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…bbdbbacked No | 60c | 444$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed No | 22c | 427$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 65c | 416.53$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…4d83backed No | 21c | 409.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed Yes | 78c | 409$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed No | 67c | 400$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 10c | 400$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66e…61d9backed Yes | 12c | 391.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +751.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 10c | 389.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.52 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 18c | 384.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.38 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked No | 22c | 362$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf624…4f7ebacked No | 30c | 361.23$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 33c | 342.58$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.98 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Yes | 35c | 319.59$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f6…dd11backed Yes | 32c | 308.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +208.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8026…2f99backed Yes | 13c | 302.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 70c | 300.55$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.39 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 9c | 300$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59bf…fb29backed No | 7c | 296.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 291$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.65 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 71c | 280.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c71…a36dbacked Yes | 5c | 273.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.93 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.38per pick | 35cpaid | +271.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…41aebacked Yes | 13c | 270$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed No | 33c | 263$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked Yes | 67c | 263$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 19c | 243.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.85 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 47c | 240.02$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.12 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…5a1dbacked Yes | 18c | 240$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 61c | 230.68$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 30c | 221.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.38 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed Yes | 10c | 216.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +142.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 14c | 215.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.21 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 214.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.55 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed No | 63c | 200.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…16bdbacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…83a8backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59cd…716fbacked No | 19c | 199.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 79c | 199.97$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…cc59backed Yes | 8c | 194.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,094%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked No | 22c | 187$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…8ea6backed No | 54c | 185.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0d…5087backed No | 7c | 171.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed Yes | 78c | 171$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed Yes | 38c | 161.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…ae31backed No | 69c | 160.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0ef9backed No | 65c | 153.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…ad6bbacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 66c | 150.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 65c | 150$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce97…127abacked No | 66c | 148$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?this page
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31?No won
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?Yes won
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.