Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaf9a46fda050dfc4f8d5715d3a96f4c296cb33f8164dbb85b570e80d962f1a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 6c | 5,069$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.83 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 7c | 4,826$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.65 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,750$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,455$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f3b8backed No | 78c | 1,800$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,260$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.37 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 21c | 1,260$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.42 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74e…e0a6backed Yes | 27c | 1,107$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…f7adbacked Yes | 20c | 1,051$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…75d9backed Yes | 30c | 899.32$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf382…4cd6backed No | 69c | 813.11$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 23c | 674.11$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.86 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Yes | 11c | 571.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed No | 74c | 537.71$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…34ecbacked Yes | 31c | 508.11$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 19c | 478.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe423…2492backed Yes | 31c | 449.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed Yes | 17c | 426.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 384.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…f74dbacked Yes | 29c | 373.39$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94de…74bcbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 14c | 328.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 21c | 290.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd825…88debacked No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf8…603bbacked Yes | 39c | 280.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Yes | 7c | 277.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked No | 60c | 265.13$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 11c | 260.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 12c | 260$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…ac7fbacked No | 70c | 253.73$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…a3a8backed No | 76c | 200.08$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…e5f0backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 28c | 199.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked No | 69c | 172.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 7c | 170.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed No | 72c | 160.27$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…2574backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -7.2wins | -0.38per pick | 59cpaid | -71%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x677a…3b07backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…505ebacked No | 72c | 139.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22de…67fabacked No | 80c | 125.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 124.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab00…3c39backed Yes | 33c | 119.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee78…42fbbacked Yes | 31c | 116.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfa…f779backed Yes | 12c | 114.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 69c | 110.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…0387backed No | 72c | 105.57$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…3377backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…5b79backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bd…1064backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…b18cbacked Yes | 29c | 99.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829d…dffdbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x861a…a173backed No | 69c | 95.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 73c | 73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb60d…bfb5backed No | 68c | 72.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…8ef3backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1e…bb8cbacked Yes | 30c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83cc…3bcdbacked No | 72c | 66.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…a88ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 64.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…e673backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…2998backed No | 71c | 52.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb7…1429backed No | 73c | 52.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.40per pick | 37cpaid | +217.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…7408backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…407fbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…d868backed Yes | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fa86backed No | 78c | 48.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661a…4d34backed No | 71c | 47.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…8693backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…ef80backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…12d3backed No | 70c | 32.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…1fa0backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…46eebacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…40bcbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4a…57cebacked No | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9237…7659backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1b…4b36backed No | 75c | 21.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4938…4d58backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…49e3backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…658fbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…a4fcbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…4d83backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…95a7backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 70c | 19.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…ab94backed No | 73c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…11e4backed No | 70c | 14.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df9…f43bbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31?this page
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?Yes won
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?Yes won
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.