TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Top Esportsof Top Esports, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$503,478
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$554,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $503,478 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44a…db9cbacked JD Gaming0c39,960$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Top Esports34c33,392$11,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,052.5681143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed JD Gaming35c22,000$7,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,652.5291854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Top Esports42c20,869$8,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,025.611,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32eb…ded0backed Top Esports42c16,724$7,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,689.0531644.3%140 W · 176 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed Top Esports46c15,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,099.9415153.6%81 W · 70 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed JD Gaming39c14,575$5,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,694.8451044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked JD Gaming59c14,176$8,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,301.4567760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b8f…de20backed JD Gaming54c13,632$7,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,342.4212652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed JD Gaming53c12,180$6,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,455.3711140.5%45 W · 66 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafe8…5f44backed JD Gaming2c12,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190535.7%3 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-82.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Top Esports47c11,575$5,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,134.661,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed Top Esports23c10,474$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,072.6151348%246 W · 267 L+25.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked JD Gaming54c9,500$5,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,129.992,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Top Esports47c7,000$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,709.991,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Top Esports47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18082352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Top Esports48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12082953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Top Esports46c5,830$2,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,165.261,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Top Esports72c5,712$4,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.0657246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed JD Gaming12c5,690$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.411,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed JD Gaming56c5,401$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00053753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked JD Gaming54c5,185$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80096057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed Top Esports22c4,819$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,743.2355639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Top Esports63c4,525$2,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.991,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161e…6ef0backed JD Gaming66c4,479$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.8814056.4%79 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed JD Gaming57c4,175$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.351,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Top Esports46c4,120$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22570456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Top Esports46c4,065$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,194.8954756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee7c…70f2backed Top Esports30c4,000$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.9548533.6%163 W · 322 L+23.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Top Esports47c3,803$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.081241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Top Esports49c3,570$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.3921754.8%119 W · 98 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Top Esports47c3,531$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.9290348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Top Esports44c3,202$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.0551146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked JD Gaming53c3,170$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68038462%238 W · 146 L-0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed JD Gaming54c3,106$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.938746%40 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked JD Gaming54c3,096$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.0633456%187 W · 147 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Top Esports40c3,009$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.5383560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8896…7c53backed JD Gaming68c2,515$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.1118561.1%113 W · 72 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed JD Gaming53c2,444$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.321,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed JD Gaming79c2,304$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.4829846.6%139 W · 159 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked JD Gaming57c2,300$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3031,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed JD Gaming53c2,200$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed JD Gaming57c2,200$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.981,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c2abacked Top Esports41c2,170$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.319268.5%63 W · 29 L+13.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed JD Gaming50c2,162$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.841,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Top Esports46c2,152$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.826155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e58…8e90backed Top Esports47c2,142$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b7…5d2cbacked JD Gaming54c2,126$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.927973.4%58 W · 21 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ac5…bb92backed JD Gaming69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38011439.5%45 W · 69 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed JD Gaming3c2,000$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Top Esports44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.9851160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed JD Gaming50c2,000$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.1689943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed JD Gaming56c1,990$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.121,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed JD Gaming54c1,883$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01746257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed JD Gaming54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004560%27 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Top Esports45c1,776$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.071,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Top Esports48c1,692$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.051,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked JD Gaming52c1,600$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83295847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked JD Gaming45c1,575$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.451,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed JD Gaming41c1,480$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.5364247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd91…5d82backed JD Gaming60c1,447$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.256347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed JD Gaming53c1,371$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.3860855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…e7b3backed Top Esports65c1,357$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.341163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8e…b551backed JD Gaming78c1,340$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0506460.9%39 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed JD Gaming55c1,300$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7151,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fd6…1582backed Top Esports50c1,255$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.213959%23 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Top Esports48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65054246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c8…cf96backed Top Esports18c1,223$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.457341.1%30 W · 43 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick32cpaid-15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Top Esports48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62421954.3%119 W · 100 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce15…43b7backed Top Esports53c1,168$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.4512970.5%91 W · 38 L+16.5wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+12.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xed4d…6a0bbacked JD Gaming56c1,150$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.169637.5%36 W · 60 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Top Esports48c1,142$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.051,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Top Esports47c1,118$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.7395951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked JD Gaming58c1,100$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63736660.1%220 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Top Esports47c1,095$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.3558850.5%297 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed JD Gaming58c1,076$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.9311653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Top Esports47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8332351.4%166 W · 157 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x413d…d704backed JD Gaming75c1,054$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7882075%15 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Top Esports36c1,052$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.419041.1%78 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Top Esports48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6717961.5%110 W · 69 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc733…4f14backed Top Esports48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.676453.1%34 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed JD Gaming56c1,021$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.8812655.6%70 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked Top Esports41c1,015$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9124858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a9…3ba9backed Top Esports47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53033845.3%153 W · 185 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed JD Gaming52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52035346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed JD Gaming53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53045366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed JD Gaming55c999.98$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.998045%36 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed JD Gaming53c969.81$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51442847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Top Esports37c967.96$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.32,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed JD Gaming74c950.56$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006349.2%31 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed JD Gaming53c943.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked JD Gaming54c920$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.89750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked JD Gaming73c902.6$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.3121258%123 W · 89 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked JD Gaming62c900.68$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.3922455.4%124 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb069…b4eabacked Top Esports44c888$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.674761.7%29 W · 18 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed JD Gaming51c874.54$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.232,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked JD Gaming42c849.66$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.418164.1%116 W · 65 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3072…4ca9backed Top Esports45c844.44$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.4413647.1%64 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Top Esports47c825.71$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.631,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Top Esports45c821.46$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.850242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.