Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5ce30f302c1bb586845bdd41d478d67ca24950afaa2f0cacb3ded4cbe71ddf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof Top Esports, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked JD Gaming | 76c | 5,275$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.3 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked Top Esports | 24c | 5,066$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.8 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed JD Gaming | 74c | 846.15$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed Top Esports | 26c | 803.85$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed JD Gaming | 74c | 307.62$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Top Esports | 24c | 193.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked JD Gaming | 76c | 144.07$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Top Esports | 22c | 130.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Top Esports | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Top Esports | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2d…4061backed Top Esports | 25c | 100.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Top Esports | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 237 | 48.5%115 W · 122 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Top Esports | 23c | 87.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Top Esports | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…6b56backed Top Esports | 27c | 70.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked JD Gaming | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed JD Gaming | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Top Esports | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed JD Gaming | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked JD Gaming | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Top Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.