Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96e8292afa73a695a751041f0960bedee7b5f4f5a19cc85fa508f357819692a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 0c | 15,440$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 50c | 1,932$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.06 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 50c | 1,380$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.72 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 54c | 495.18$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.4 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 52c | 449.53$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.31 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…a14ebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over | 46c | 393.82$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.67 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 47c | 302.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.58 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Under | 52c | 272.72$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 53c | 207.77$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f2…a5b1backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Under | 52c | 151.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 145.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 50c | 136.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2a96backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 49c | 100.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Under | 52c | 96.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…b7c4backed Over | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 51c | 55.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3c32backed Over | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc99e…74abbacked Under | 51c | 38.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 48c | 29.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Under | 51c | 29.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 48c | 25.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…31f4backed Over | 77c | 24.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…6512backed Under | 75c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Top Esports won
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.