TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Top Esportsof JD Gaming, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,259 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa19d…3909backed Top Esports72c3,438$2,475 inWon+$962.511,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed JD Gaming28c3,000$840 inLost-$84019239.1%75 W · 117 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked JD Gaming28c1,219$343 inLost-$343.446930.4%21 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Top Esports71c715.23$508 inWon+$207.4264443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Top Esports45c673.81$302 inWon+$371.6648844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked JD Gaming24c537.04$128 inLost-$127.91,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Top Esports76c429.69$326 inWon+$104.0239152.2%204 W · 187 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3419…3896backed Top Esports73c410.96$300 inWon+$110.961952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed JD Gaming28c408.82$114 inLost-$114.475554.5%30 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Top Esports74c302.35$224 inWon+$78.611,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked JD Gaming26c302.35$79 inLost-$78.6195847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Top Esports70c184.1$129 inWon+$55.231,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed JD Gaming30c184.1$55 inLost-$55.2366947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d72…2d0bbacked Top Esports68c175.86$120 inWon+$55.8612052.5%63 W · 57 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked JD Gaming30c155.77$47 inLost-$46.8811329.2%33 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc22a…8259backed JD Gaming28c144.01$41 inLost-$4138144.6%170 W · 211 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed Top Esports78c128.91$100 inWon+$28.9144470%311 W · 133 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7271…8d79backed Top Esports75c104$78 inWon+$261566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Top Esports77c103.96$80 inWon+$23.9640365%262 W · 141 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed JD Gaming57c101.75$58 inLost-$5861150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed JD Gaming25c99$25 inLost-$24.751,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Top Esports43c97.43$42 inWon+$55.5335054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dec…058cbacked JD Gaming27c95.54$26 inLost-$25.830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed JD Gaming22c73.77$16 inLost-$16.231,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Top Esports70c73$51 inWon+$21.939056.4%220 W · 170 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Top Esports69c69.17$48 inWon+$21.4479745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed JD Gaming23c55.14$13 inLost-$12.6817349.7%86 W · 87 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x023e…a3b9backed Top Esports73c49.79$36 inWon+$13.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Top Esports70c48.22$34 inWon+$14.461,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4d…f103backed Top Esports73c45.69$33 inWon+$12.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked JD Gaming30c36.67$11 inLost-$1114650.7%74 W · 72 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Top Esports48c30$14 inWon+$15.675150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc5b7…30febacked Top Esports76c24.92$19 inWon+$5.981872.2%13 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Top Esports46c21.74$10 inWon+$11.741,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Top Esports74c13.6$10 inWon+$3.546654.5%36 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.