World Politics · resolved market
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d2177a012322758609849cafde948644aa16843fb1dd4bb12d0d8987babe8db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $519,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $506,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 463 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x682d…31abbacked Yes | 76c | 65,244$49,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,443.34 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 23c | 63,674$14,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,657.09 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a8…9aa1backed Yes | 79c | 43,999$34,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,107.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 20c | 34,584$6,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,889.84 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked No | 21c | 19,770$4,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,072.22 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328d…f7a9backed Yes | 76c | 13,782$10,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,347.12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…eecfbacked No | 30c | 12,837$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked No | 26c | 12,276$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.19 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 26c | 12,199$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.72 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 22c | 11,274$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.56 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…9ff9backed No | 34c | 10,562$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 25c | 10,061$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.95 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee2…bea6backed No | 33c | 9,927$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,236.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 8c | 8,772$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.77 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 18c | 7,200$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.72 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c9…1b1abacked Yes | 71c | 6,744$4,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 25c | 6,442$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.57 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed No | 18c | 6,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed No | 26c | 5,926$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.86 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b30…c0b6backed No | 24c | 5,807$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.61 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 25c | 5,653$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.31 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Yes | 69c | 5,176$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed Yes | 75c | 5,174$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked No | 33c | 4,918$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.83 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 69c | 4,884$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.05 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked No | 9c | 4,845$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.07 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…e6a5backed Yes | 72c | 4,754$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 21c | 4,600$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.98 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…0d46backed No | 27c | 4,568$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…cd63backed No | 21c | 4,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…eefabacked Yes | 80c | 4,318$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…3770backed No | 26c | 4,240$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…8015backed Yes | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94aa…024ebacked Yes | 79c | 3,613$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…e15cbacked No | 31c | 3,555$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…f38cbacked Yes | 73c | 3,359$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…17c7backed Yes | 69c | 3,220$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…7c46backed No | 28c | 2,920$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.85 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…98aebacked Yes | 78c | 2,731$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.95 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Yes | 79c | 2,713$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 20c | 2,323$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.21 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d1…21c7backed No | 28c | 2,153$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.28 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 28c | 2,120$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.46 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 14c | 2,083$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.79 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 27c | 2,002$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.43 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…83cbbacked Yes | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed No | 28c | 1,977$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.12 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 26c | 1,926$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.98 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2f…acb6backed Yes | 68c | 1,800$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc2…5a6bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,800$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa7…dfacbacked Yes | 74c | 1,787$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…b665backed Yes | 80c | 1,783$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…de48backed No | 37c | 1,733$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 25c | 1,560$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.87 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 18c | 1,500$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 29c | 1,427$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.47 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…6b12backed Yes | 80c | 1,361$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked No | 23c | 1,339$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.05 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 28c | 1,311$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.22 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…9441backed Yes | 77c | 1,184$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…ae22backed Yes | 68c | 1,100$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 75c | 1,100$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.24 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 25c | 1,095$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.45 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 72c | 1,068$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.14 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x969c…314cbacked No | 19c | 1,057$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +272.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee9…78d0backed Yes | 78c | 1,033$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 70c | 1,028$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.81 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 31c | 1,026$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.22 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Yes | 70c | 1,010$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 20c | 1,008$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.71 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…ea77backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 23c | 1,000$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…2191backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…4f81backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +367.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77fd…b6c8backed No | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf608…6af0backed No | 22c | 954.55$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe33…2f77backed Yes | 68c | 900$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…1e0cbacked Yes | 68c | 900$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed No | 38c | 876.63$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4044…8f69backed No | 25c | 814.5$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8934…ca30backed No | 30c | 799.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…399bbacked Yes | 72c | 797.02$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac19…4f9fbacked Yes | 69c | 793.89$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d01…9b25backed Yes | 70c | 770$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…c7cabacked No | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2f…b8efbacked Yes | 70c | 730.1$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…030abacked Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed No | 28c | 710$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…a6fbbacked No | 9c | 679.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 10c | 678.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed No | 30c | 675.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…0c73backed Yes | 70c | 672.63$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…b445backed Yes | 68c | 651.35$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 25c | 642.78$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.75 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e6…8e52backed Yes | 78c | 642.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…4fb2backed Yes | 73c | 637.66$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed No | 20c | 634.77$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.76 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?this page
- Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes won
- Will Catarina Martins qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Humberto Correia qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Manuel João Vieira qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.