World Politics · resolved market
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7950ef7b573dc32990364162df96d9851a7906e4b8074942856b07100801db0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $692,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $637,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $692,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 512 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 19c | 114,840$21,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,433.94 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 28c | 50,025$14,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,207 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 8c | 19,990$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.02 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 27c | 15,518$4,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,154.91 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…ff6bbacked Yes | 1c | 13,293$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 13c | 12,400$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.74 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c9…1b1abacked No | 68c | 11,971$8,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7c…5fe2backed Yes | 1c | 11,147$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d6…b6e8backed Yes | 9c | 10,693$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6544…1711backed Yes | 2c | 7,741$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 39c | 7,228$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.67 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21c…b303backed Yes | 35c | 7,053$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 1c | 6,905$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 26c | 5,173$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.61 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 10c | 5,110$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.62 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328d…f7a9backed No | 74c | 5,052$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…cd63backed Yes | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1686…3cd3backed No | 79c | 4,786$3,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 23c | 4,704$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.63 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…98aebacked No | 72c | 4,620$3,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.08 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c19…accebacked No | 69c | 4,322$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 54c | 4,272$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.2 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbedf…b69abacked No | 69c | 4,164$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked No | 69c | 4,027$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.55 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 34c | 3,816$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.35 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked Yes | 33c | 3,706$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.89 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 30c | 3,191$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.56 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…4f81backed No | 74c | 3,161$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +367.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 10c | 3,106$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.38 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e6…8e52backed Yes | 3c | 3,085$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 26c | 3,071$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.36 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 78c | 3,061$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.73 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 29c | 2,957$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.51 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed No | 74c | 2,907$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.94 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…f7f0backed No | 72c | 2,790$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf784…7999backed Yes | 38c | 2,784$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,617$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.89 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 27c | 2,465$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.41 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed No | 66c | 2,300$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.99 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 11c | 2,290$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.68 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 31c | 2,243$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.04 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…5957backed Yes | 2c | 2,200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed Yes | 36c | 1,991$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.18 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…3bd9backed Yes | 1c | 1,950$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…b1a0backed Yes | 26c | 1,945$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked No | 78c | 1,924$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +171.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,817$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.37 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 1,750$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e5…32aabacked No | 66c | 1,747$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…d784backed No | 69c | 1,670$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes | 1c | 1,608$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 23c | 1,607$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.55 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…83d7backed Yes | 10c | 1,574$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,546$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.57 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 19c | 1,545$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.91 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…6577backed No | 77c | 1,517$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…3c44backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 2c | 1,491$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 66c | 1,467$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.05 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 1,462$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.12 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…a915backed Yes | 34c | 1,457$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,400$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,321$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.06 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…9d3ebacked No | 72c | 1,317$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Yes | 35c | 1,277$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.56 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 28c | 1,253$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.36 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,244$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.34 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 28c | 1,172$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.58 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfa…09edbacked Yes | 3c | 1,167$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b08…8f15backed Yes | 8c | 1,151$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 64c | 1,131$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.22 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…55a0backed No | 63c | 1,106$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…b665backed No | 79c | 1,096$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 28c | 1,085$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ad…2318backed Yes | 26c | 1,085$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 9c | 1,056$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed No | 74c | 1,050$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5780…a6dbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,030$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,023$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.47 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 71c | 1,014$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.39 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 64c | 1,013$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.41 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 13c | 1,012$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.02 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160f…7c89backed No | 73c | 1,010$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…7878backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed7…5f67backed Yes | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed No | 76c | 951.59$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.01 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 26c | 949.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed53…b946backed Yes | 22c | 947.63$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…5cd5backed Yes | 11c | 946.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3b…7654backed Yes | 11c | 913.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…4bd8backed Yes | 28c | 885.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…3c98backed No | 57c | 840$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…c26bbacked Yes | 11c | 835.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?this page
- Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes won
- Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes won
- Will Catarina Martins qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Humberto Correia qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Manuel João Vieira qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.