Movies · resolved market
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 24m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab3f883e652c8af0c89b5767a84fabea146ad781a68b35979f983d370fc42b8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8657…a8b7backed Yes | 30c | 9,227$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,429$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 60c | 4,137$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.58 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 21c | 3,740$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.73 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a89…ff1dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,206$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 75c | 2,843$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.04 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb739…52f5backed Yes | 12c | 2,291$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5510backed Yes | 28c | 1,820$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb6…4c43backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ad…5aaabacked Yes | 23c | 1,168$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…be38backed No | 67c | 1,001$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.84 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 22c | 990.91$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.2 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed Yes | 16c | 852.35$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e2…c125backed Yes | 43c | 811.07$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.36 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 780.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed No | 64c | 769.23$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.93 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 80c | 600$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 74c | 484.49$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.97 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed No | 65c | 415.91$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dff…1f35backed No | 75c | 400$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6a72backed No | 65c | 367$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa056…ad1cbacked Yes | 26c | 366.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2a…b7aebacked Yes | 43c | 334.59$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 35c | 315$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked Yes | 35c | 303$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 62c | 250$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…2f60backed Yes | 21c | 241.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 232.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked Yes | 17c | 227.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 16c | 195.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 34c | 191.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 79c | 180$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 75c | 175$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 59c | 171.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc85…0554backed Yes | 15c | 153.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed No | 58c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 40c | 146.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…56fdbacked No | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 61c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5017…4daebacked Yes | 38c | 125$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…a433backed Yes | 42c | 113.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a74…9043backed Yes | 14c | 111.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7de…bb18backed Yes | 29c | 104.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 11c | 102.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -84%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9f…ba36backed No | 76c | 99.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…e6c6backed Yes | 41c | 94.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be1…cb56backed No | 63c | 88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +65%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…bf21backed Yes | 37c | 88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f3…af65backed Yes | 27c | 73.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 68c | 71.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…89e0backed Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea9…f124backed Yes | 29c | 68.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…8682backed No | 69c | 65.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 72c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…db5bbacked No | 59c | 64.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed Yes | 35c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c1…e23cbacked No | 60c | 57.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…a37cbacked Yes | 40c | 50.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…9b8dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…e673backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +303.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed No | 58c | 49.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 40c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…1785backed Yes | 41c | 41.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…8a12backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a7…36dcbacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked No | 59c | 32.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 75c | 30.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4f…e58cbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66a…a0a0backed No | 61c | 18.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 24m?this page
- Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?Yes won
- Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 21m?No won
- Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?No won
- Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.