Tennis · resolved market
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1c3d030017e3e880b59bc6f5b63c7816f7d391cd9b54c60e678872ee18da2a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kyrgiosof Sabalenka, Kyrgios
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,433,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,145,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,433,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 508 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fb0…7263backed Sabalenka | 15c | 327,422$47,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,930.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Sabalenka | 12c | 166,807$20,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,470.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Sabalenka | 17c | 136,486$23,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,335.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Sabalenka | 9c | 104,982$9,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,700.71 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Sabalenka | 15c | 93,242$14,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,305.75 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed Sabalenka | 19c | 68,745$12,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,948 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Sabalenka | 13c | 65,023$8,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,749.21 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…4237backed Sabalenka | 18c | 59,283$10,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,789.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Sabalenka | 19c | 56,971$10,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,827.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Sabalenka | 13c | 56,919$7,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,158.21 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…fe44backed Sabalenka | 8c | 53,852$4,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,357.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Sabalenka | 18c | 50,987$9,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,088.66 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…65d1backed Sabalenka | 15c | 50,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Sabalenka | 16c | 50,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Sabalenka | 11c | 42,814$4,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,632.65 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Sabalenka | 17c | 41,500$6,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,879.37 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Sabalenka | 19c | 35,708$6,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,684.57 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed Sabalenka | 7c | 32,585$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Sabalenka | 19c | 32,122$5,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,953.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…1f15backed Sabalenka | 16c | 30,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eba…849abacked Sabalenka | 17c | 30,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Sabalenka | 18c | 25,052$4,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,445.97 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Sabalenka | 16c | 25,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabalenka | 15c | 24,855$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,781.19 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…ef40backed Sabalenka | 16c | 23,701$3,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,863.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9d3bbacked Sabalenka | 15c | 21,357$3,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…7ebbbacked Sabalenka | 9c | 21,172$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Sabalenka | 14c | 20,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368b…2458backed Sabalenka | 16c | 20,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Sabalenka | 16c | 18,750$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0be7…513cbacked Sabalenka | 17c | 17,647$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d0…af08backed Sabalenka | 3c | 17,200$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Sabalenka | 15c | 16,830$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Sabalenka | 19c | 16,701$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6629…d64fbacked Sabalenka | 17c | 16,376$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…f1c9backed Sabalenka | 17c | 16,189$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Kyrgios | 80c | 15,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Sabalenka | 16c | 15,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…f53abacked Sabalenka | 17c | 14,706$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Sabalenka | 19c | 14,077$2,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.67 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…8afdbacked Sabalenka | 19c | 13,900$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed Sabalenka | 16c | 13,557$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…0944backed Sabalenka | 16c | 12,871$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…ee85backed Sabalenka | 17c | 12,549$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Sabalenka | 16c | 11,670$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.17 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Sabalenka | 16c | 11,642$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Sabalenka | 17c | 11,531$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.45 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Sabalenka | 11c | 11,033$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.98 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Sabalenka | 10c | 10,951$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Sabalenka | 16c | 10,914$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.73 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Sabalenka | 20c | 10,750$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.5 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Sabalenka | 12c | 10,642$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Sabalenka | 16c | 10,436$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3ddcbacked Sabalenka | 17c | 10,300$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Sabalenka | 9c | 9,999$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Sabalenka | 17c | 9,885$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.95 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…68bcbacked Sabalenka | 15c | 9,757$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Sabalenka | 18c | 9,532$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9a…7beabacked Sabalenka | 16c | 9,404$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…0f9bbacked Sabalenka | 17c | 9,225$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf044…8e78backed Sabalenka | 15c | 8,594$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked Sabalenka | 19c | 8,183$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.81 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Sabalenka | 20c | 7,639$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Sabalenka | 15c | 7,293$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.04 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b5…5888backed Sabalenka | 17c | 7,251$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f25…a004backed Sabalenka | 17c | 6,810$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Sabalenka | 5c | 6,353$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Sabalenka | 12c | 6,129$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Sabalenka | 18c | 6,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…1335backed Sabalenka | 17c | 5,891$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Sabalenka | 12c | 5,768$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.14 | 665 | 31.3%208 W · 457 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Sabalenka | 15c | 5,736$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.27 | 226 | 23.9%54 W · 172 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…1469backed Sabalenka | 19c | 5,660$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d59…0162backed Sabalenka | 15c | 5,339$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Sabalenka | 22c | 5,150$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.67 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sabalenka | 19c | 5,021$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.99 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Sabalenka | 10c | 4,858$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.28 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Sabalenka | 12c | 4,746$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1425backed Sabalenka | 17c | 4,706$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f9…7478backed Sabalenka | 17c | 4,488$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabalenka | 18c | 4,377$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.94 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Sabalenka | 14c | 4,351$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8d…175bbacked Sabalenka | 13c | 4,301$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed Sabalenka | 17c | 4,248$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Sabalenka | 20c | 4,126$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.1 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc1…dfcdbacked Sabalenka | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Sabalenka | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Kyrgios | 78c | 4,000$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.45 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Sabalenka | 17c | 3,963$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.72 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Sabalenka | 11c | 3,779$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Sabalenka | 18c | 3,622$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Sabalenka | 18c | 3,617$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Sabalenka | 15c | 3,568$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.66 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b3…6c4fbacked Sabalenka | 17c | 3,437$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…046ebacked Sabalenka | 18c | 3,399$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Sabalenka | 16c | 3,396$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Sabalenka | 16c | 3,352$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…934cbacked Sabalenka | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe6…a5efbacked Sabalenka | 17c | 3,260$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Sabalenka | 14c | 3,224$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.68 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.