Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lafayette Leopards vs. American Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76424f6cfd7322eeeb33966f0d96591d8eef2c9896ba2e0c0c4d10691ecde54b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lafayette Leopardsof Lafayette Leopards, American Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked American Eagles | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lafayette Leopards | 25c | 768$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.46 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed American Eagles | 53c | 707.68$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.35 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lafayette Leopards | 64c | 547.96$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.25 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lafayette Leopards | 64c | 511.76$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.64 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked American Eagles | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lafayette Leopards | 68c | 424.34$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.06 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed American Eagles | 71c | 421.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.66 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Lafayette Leopards | 66c | 412.35$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.2 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked American Eagles | 72c | 410$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.2 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lafayette Leopards | 28c | 401$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.72 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Lafayette Leopards | 71c | 349.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed American Eagles | 37c | 320$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed American Eagles | 64c | 291.68$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lafayette Leopards | 31c | 270.64$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.04 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked American Eagles | 35c | 225.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lafayette Leopards | 61c | 155.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lafayette Leopards | 65c | 132$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed American Eagles | 48c | 121$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed American Eagles | 74c | 120$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Lafayette Leopards | 34c | 108.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed American Eagles | 42c | 105$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed American Eagles | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked American Eagles | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked American Eagles | 72c | 71.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked American Eagles | 25c | 68.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…a82bbacked American Eagles | 22c | 62.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Lafayette Leopards | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked American Eagles | 37c | 52.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lafayette Leopards | 27c | 52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Lafayette Leopards | 67c | 49.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed American Eagles | 29c | 44.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed American Eagles | 71c | 44.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Lafayette Leopards | 28c | 44.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…3667backed Lafayette Leopards | 24c | 43.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Lafayette Leopards | 65c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed American Eagles | 35c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed American Eagles | 45c | 39.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked American Eagles | 50c | 38.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked American Eagles | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed American Eagles | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed American Eagles | 74c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lafayette Leopards | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed American Eagles | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…89a5backed American Eagles | 73c | 18.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…9a53backed American Eagles | 76c | 16.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…5f07backed American Eagles | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f3…2749backed American Eagles | 76c | 13.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lafayette Leopards vs. American Eaglesthis page
- Lafayette Leopards vs. American Eagles: O/U 141.5Under won
- Lafayette Leopards vs. American Eagles: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: American Eagles (-7.5)Lafayette Leopards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.