TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e7d…9a53

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 50 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT4445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.92
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$3.89
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.14
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.12
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.62
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.63
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.26
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.12
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.33
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$5.92
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.22
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.12
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.66
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.26
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.4%+$7.97
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.73
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.33
Nets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+25%+$3
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.73
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lafayette Leopards vs. American Eaglesbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.45
West Georgia Wolves vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Bellarmine Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+49.2%+$6.35
San Diego State Aztecs vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+53.8%+$5.68
Lamar Cardinals vs. New Orleans Privateersbacked New Orleans Privateers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$12.27
Grambling State Tigers vs. Florida A&M Rattlersbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Sabresbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.