TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,858 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7412…85d0backed Over38c6,567$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,490.7326544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over47c2,130$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.134855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb90…c431backed Under70c2,127$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.043342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c2,062$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.18,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under53c1,922$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.5195651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over30c1,800$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over28c1,779$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.8413835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under57c1,314$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.86,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over3c1,150$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0967921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c1,059$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.463,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under59c1,020$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.2551354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over48c972.89$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.3134854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under53c928.66$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.392,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b6…3d60backed Under62c807.1$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.14351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over39c748$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7252052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under60c708$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.21,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under61c706.67$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4790957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7af9…7232backed Over50c680$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b2…036fbacked Over50c672$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa758…aadfbacked Under50c672$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03a6…a4c7backed Under50c658$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…3769backed Over50c648$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79de…5570backed Over50c647$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab9…c0d6backed Under50c642$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over45c639.99$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28827747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0773…34d5backed Under50c624$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc30e…e635backed Under50c620$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over11c615$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.772,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3b…5fa2backed Over50c592$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…bb72backed Under50c590$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2801…4691backed Over50c580$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over44c558.41$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.294,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99b5…90fabacked Under50c558$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e14…efc4backed Over50c552$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…c84bbacked Over50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2276…f9a5backed Under50c546$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c96…ca0fbacked Over50c546$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b0…0ca6backed Over50c532$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x541d…40d9backed Under50c525$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x825a…720ebacked Under50c520$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e87…a876backed Over50c515.71$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac8…79f4backed Under50c514$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over27c511.05$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.093,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under60c480.27$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2747651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over12c461.71$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.941,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over29c442.41$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.091,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under72c435.93$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.23,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under64c430$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.191,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over42c380.29$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b2…9141backed Under58c367.52$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.366453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over46c310.5$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8340146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under73c309$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4146940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c240.34$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.952,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over23c220.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7210637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under60c208.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3339552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Under76c208.18$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.746872.1%49 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9fc…02d3backed Under50c186.08$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over43c184.36$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.564,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over33c166.72$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.493,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over40c166.21$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.482,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under60c165.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3129554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over24c156.2$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.862,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d06…00d4backed Under79c151.34$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd85…04cdbacked Under59c132.79$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.59580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under78c128.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1965872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c124$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.462,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f60…9c5cbacked Under77c119.48$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507332.9%24 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over44c113.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033730.3%102 W · 235 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under63c112.69$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.751,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507247.2%34 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under73c107.48$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3990357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over27c82.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1445452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.822453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under72c79.03$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1388057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under71c73.57$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9945653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over21c71.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.782,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Over44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Over40c50.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1814448.6%70 W · 74 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.566143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2093145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…072cbacked Under80c47.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.716862.5%105 W · 63 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Under69c45.05$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9712766.9%85 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e4…9f9cbacked Over41c44.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.261353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over47c42.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ac1…0c17backed Under58c39.12$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.431656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfd…0c89backed Under67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.31933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over48c37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7646447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e7d…9a53backed Over42c35.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.124445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52fe…effdbacked Under68c35.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.278840.9%36 W · 52 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Under58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4824358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fc…7cc1backed Under58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2814471.5%103 W · 41 L+22.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x13f4…48c6backed Over47c32.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513852.9%73 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Under47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.911,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Over36c28.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.052449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xffbe…d346backed Under72c27.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08be…71cebacked Under68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.