NBA · resolved market
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8e7ce5fa93d8fdde6b660dc0c856dc6a94d8475aebdaf766fc1a3f61c367420
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 7,774$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec5…d627backed Yes | 1c | 2,278$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 67c | 1,475$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.03 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…4eb0backed Yes | 9c | 1,288$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…6ffabacked No | 66c | 1,056$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.81 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 62c | 1,016$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.06 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 68c | 816.42$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.05 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…2c6ebacked Yes | 38c | 753.79$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…213fbacked Yes | 34c | 704.53$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…7f7fbacked Yes | 20c | 640$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af8…a69ebacked Yes | 31c | 612.9$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaac…008fbacked Yes | 35c | 414.89$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -67%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 70c | 370$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…5c77backed Yes | 32c | 347.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x043f…ca25backed No | 68c | 299.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…1ac3backed Yes | 34c | 289.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Yes | 38c | 263.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…9374backed Yes | 30c | 229.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Yes | 34c | 205$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed No | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 456 | 57%260 W · 196 L | +44.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked No | 69c | 195.44$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…e8abbacked Yes | 30c | 194.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Yes | 33c | 187.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaed…37d5backed Yes | 29c | 168.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1e…0673backed Yes | 36c | 165.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…76f2backed Yes | 34c | 145.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed No | 63c | 144.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…9b5fbacked Yes | 34c | 129.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 74c | 119.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…e0cbbacked Yes | 30c | 107.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 68c | 105.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd019…4ee0backed Yes | 33c | 89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked No | 58c | 88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 69c | 80.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 69c | 73.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…c1d3backed No | 69c | 64.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 227 | 74.4%169 W · 58 L | +22.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…ef51backed Yes | 33c | 55.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ef…ce6cbacked Yes | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02e…9442backed Yes | 30c | 50.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c66…0a4fbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…5698backed Yes | 36c | 47.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Yes | 39c | 30.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Yes | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 71c | 14.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5this page
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Clippers vs. WarriorsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Under won
- John Collins: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.