TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

John Collins: Points O/U 13.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,241 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked Yes29c1,182$340 inLost-$340.091,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf642…7353backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost-$101723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-58.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No70c1,000$700 inWon+$30026069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaac…008fbacked Yes32c747.5$237 inLost-$2371513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-67%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No68c682.52$462 inWon+$220.9690863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No73c329$239 inWon+$90.2413835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No72c306.05$221 inWon+$85.354,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Yes32c210$67 inLost-$66.624428.7%70 W · 174 L-22.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No74c204.09$151 inWon+$53.2465762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed No69c200$137 inWon+$6345657%260 W · 196 L+44.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6fac…8f2bbacked Yes33c197$65 inLost-$64.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x043f…ca25backed No68c189.91$130 inWon+$60.136361.9%39 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked No66c187.99$124 inWon+$63.9227059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcaed…37d5backed Yes28c179$50 inLost-$49.731729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33ce…1c8abacked Yes35c170.73$60 inLost-$60520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2c…9374backed Yes25c168.63$42 inLost-$422040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Yes30c84.93$26 inLost-$25.8183158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x483d…65f2backed No78c50.57$40 inWon+$11.02425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-68%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Yes28c47.87$14 inLost-$13.6192058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa02e…9442backed Yes22c44.47$10 inLost-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdda2…4375backed Yes34c30$10 inLost-$10.22544%11 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed No68c16.98$12 inWon+$5.439267.4%62 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.