TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3690…78dfbacked Over52c41,801$21,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,736.34837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under48c22,000$10,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,44024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under47c19,936$9,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,472.8738251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c15,612$8,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,193.732,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c12,084$6,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,136.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c10,131$4,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,269.524,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under49c9,518$4,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,896.6948546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c9,199$4,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,757.351,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23d2…ba4cbacked Under49c8,271$4,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,218.431145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08012844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under49c7,075$3,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,573.2522648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c21…9b8abacked Under49c6,588$3,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.762740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under48c6,204$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,203.5426648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa401…1dafbacked Under50c5,404$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,702633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9929748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb90…c431backed Over53c3,978$2,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.593342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under48c3,186$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.6637747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over37c3,064$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.793,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c2,999$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.741,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over52c2,903$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under49c2,633$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.6541649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Over51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2757759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02035749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over52c1,967$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02220651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c1,933$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.298,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over37c1,906$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.313835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c1,413$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.184,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under50c1,369$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.432150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over52c1,246$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64640451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over50c1,238$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.5354443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c1,126$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.633,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over50c1,085$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.313066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under47c1,043$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.5623147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6564944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c999.98$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over51c970$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.721247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over54c813.92$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4388751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over53c811.06$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.8615543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee04…286cbacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08e0…bfdfbacked Over52c721.15$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3753641.7%15 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c705$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Over53c701.89$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37232151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Under51c657.94$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.945356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Over28c643.44$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.415534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over52c615.38$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf1…8277backed Over50c596.08$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017236%62 W · 110 L-19.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over36c579.63$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.141,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over50c510$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25554853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26046258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17562347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Over46c434.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017051.8%88 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under47c419.04$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.0925951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over49c414.56$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9167921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c408$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.081,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcb…8a00backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd175…ddd8backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d5…1232backed Under51c393.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.581850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c390.6$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.345146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under51c378.92$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.6762347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e03…b448backed Over41c367.24$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.272853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over50c363.7$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8520744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over44c361.4$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.423,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under48c346.43$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under49c300$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15422746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15641742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Under48c299.97$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.987454.1%40 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c299.96$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x044a…1acebacked Under68c292.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.253959%23 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under50c285.1$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5551146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62c0…49bfbacked Over37c251.11$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.351816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x637f…40cebacked Over21c250$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-47.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over37c249.8$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.782,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Over51c235.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over53c233.13$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.911,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over44c212.08$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.555,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Under49c200.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.524151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10224946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Under49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8811943.7%52 W · 67 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over52c193.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over44c192.82$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.193,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4694…b6b2backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010647.2%50 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa308…94b9backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Under50c165$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.529652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c164.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.782,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c164.07$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.743,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over52c157.29$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.831,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c143.53$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.894,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over42c141.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over52c131.05$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.153737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over30c117.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.212227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over35c114.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.181,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6469…dd0abacked Under57c113.38$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e32…d479backed Over53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013115.3%20 W · 111 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-47.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over52c105.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5516261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2720…7a59backed Over45c105.41$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Over51c103.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9215149%74 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.