TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 105.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,916 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x683a…274ebacked Over51c2,800$1,428 inLost-$1,42818536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under52c2,183$1,135 inWon+$1,047.8458951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x050d…2f13backed Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost-$999.841546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under49c1,800$882 inWon+$91829347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost-$5002878.6%22 W · 6 L+7.0wins+0.25per pick54cpaid+55.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under49c656.63$323 inWon+$333.8837747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over50c500$250 inLost-$2505349.1%26 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c470$235 inWon+$2352,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Under49c324.62$159 inWon+$165.568243.9%36 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c294.42$147 inWon+$147.213,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c226$112 inWon+$114.264,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c100$48 inLost-$483,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over50c59.61$30 inLost-$3018150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under50c40$20 inWon+$2088057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under50c30$15 inWon+$1562049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.