TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,485
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,850

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,485 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34f6…4535backed Over49c14,298$6,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,975.114355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Under55c9,700$5,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3654654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c2,210$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.39,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c1,767$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.234,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Over46c1,374$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.097759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over46c950$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43722648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c765.33$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c755.23$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.673,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b7e…1f4ebacked Under54c745$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fbe…dbacbacked Under50c714$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3612…e301backed Under50c698$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad67…e0efbacked Under50c696$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e4…e4f5backed Under50c692$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ef…1847backed Over50c684$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x795f…e09cbacked Under49c684$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe117…7f4fbacked Over51c681$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.31475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1e…3c30backed Over50c680$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe765…02d7backed Over50c680$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e92…0a73backed Over51c680$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe6…28a6backed Under50c678$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0060…2900backed Under50c664$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba25…5de3backed Over51c662$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x601a…0e7bbacked Over50c656$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73ff…9471backed Over50c654$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…4f24backed Over50c652$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc83c…d5adbacked Over50c652$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c651.88$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.753,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe3…4c54backed Over50c646$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4753…1d05backed Under49c640$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f28…e13ebacked Under50c640$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf77b…431dbacked Under50c636$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5105…446dbacked Over50c636$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3de5…bbe3backed Under50c635$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x122a…5cadbacked Over50c634$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe77c…7948backed Over50c626$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11cb…3390backed Over50c624$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a09…8e6cbacked Over50c620$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ef…f18fbacked Over51c620$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1c2…c503backed Under50c616$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36c9…3073backed Under50c610$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x046a…2e31backed Over50c610$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1d9…9ea9backed Over51c610$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8f…3c2cbacked Over50c606$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904c…2398backed Under50c604$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x706a…8afabacked Over50c602$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d1…cf6dbacked Under49c601$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4e…1780backed Under50c598$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc5…80ebbacked Under49c594$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ef…0d38backed Under49c594$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa8c…60e3backed Under49c591$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c8…bc80backed Over50c591$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f3…fcf0backed Under49c585$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa64f…80b2backed Under50c584$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa21f…e9e6backed Under50c584$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5221…5a3bbacked Under49c584$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabb1…eeccbacked Over50c583$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd15b…8be2backed Under49c582$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.82875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+56.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x12ce…c710backed Over50c581$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under52c576.12$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.5423147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6aa…6c3bbacked Over51c575$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc064…5253backed Over51c574$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3e…1f01backed Over50c572$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x65a1…cf88backed Over50c572$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5238…ab2cbacked Under50c571$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0900…52bebacked Under50c571$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…982abacked Over50c571$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f4…15e0backed Over50c570.97$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe6…22d8backed Under50c570$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdef1…bc61backed Over51c570$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x337c…5b4bbacked Under49c566$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.66650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97a…cc71backed Under50c566$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f58…d19ebacked Under49c565$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bae…4462backed Over50c564$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ce…fbabbacked Under50c562$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb380…ecd3backed Over50c561$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0717…aea1backed Under50c560$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ff…2777backed Over50c558$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…f242backed Over50c558$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ef…9684backed Under50c558$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7844…a63abacked Under50c556$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x251c…a8e5backed Over50c556$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a2…e5b0backed Under49c555$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b2…5051backed Over50c553$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under53c552$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.441,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0c4…fe0abacked Over48c550$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over45c548.97$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.0427747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a98…06a9backed Under50c548$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc47a…a475backed Under50c542$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9cf…10c7backed Over51c540$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0188…b41abacked Under50c539$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa899…c29cbacked Over51c537$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4198…14debacked Under50c531$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9449…462bbacked Over51c531$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76d5…42f5backed Under50c525$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8630…e21bbacked Over51c525$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d3…fa3bbacked Over50c524$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a0…5f99backed Over50c524$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2082…1330backed Under50c522$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x035a…65ddbacked Under50c521$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab7…7193backed Over51c521$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.